Trabzonspor
vs
Başakşehir
2 – 1 Full time
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir
| Probability | Trabzonspor | Draw | Başakşehir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.3% | 30.8% | 42.9% |
| Market | 44.6% | 26.9% | 28.5% |
| Final | 40.0% | 27.9% | 32.1% |
| Edge | -18.3% | +3.9% | +14.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trabzonspor and Başakşehir expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Trabzonspor and Başakşehir attack and defence ratings
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir: result vs prediction
Trabzonspor 2 – 1 Başakşehir
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 40.0% | 2.50 | -18.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 40.0% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Başakşehir | 32.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win | 9.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 73.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir stats
Trabzonspor and Başakşehir recent form
| Trabzonspor |
LDLWDL |
| Başakşehir |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Trabzonspor | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Başakşehir | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 26.8%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.58 | 3.54 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.44 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.57 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.97 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .