Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 2

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa

0 – 1 Full time

Corum Stadyumu, CorumReferee: Fatih Tokail, Türkiye

Çorum FK 48%
Draw 27%
Kasımpaşa 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÇorum FKDrawKasımpaşa
Model61.3%24.6%14.1%
Market43.1%27.6%29.3%
Final47.6%26.9%25.5%
Edge+18.2%-3.0%-15.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Çorum FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Çorum FK below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Çorum FK ↓ / Kasımpaşa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 13% 10% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Çorum FK and Kasımpaşa expected goals

Çorum FK 1.80
Kasımpaşa 0.76

Total expected goals: 2.56

Çorum FK and Kasımpaşa attack and defence ratings

Çorum FK

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Kasımpaşa

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa: result vs prediction

Çorum FK 0 – 1 Kasımpaşa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Çorum FK 47.6% 2.10 +18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.7% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Çorum FK47.6%
Draw26.9%
Kasımpaşa25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.1%
Under 2.552.9%
Both teams to scoreYes45.3%
No54.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)52.4%
Handicap -1Çorum FK win36.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss38.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.9%
2-012.6%
1-111.6%

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa stats

Çorum FK and Kasımpaşa recent form

newest first
Çorum FK DWWLWD
Kasımpaşa DWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 27.6%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.45 2.92
1xBet 2.21 3.54 3.39
888Sport 2.25 3.20 2.90
Bet365 2.10 3.60 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.30 3.20
Betano 2.18 3.40 3.15
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.25
Dafabet 2.21 3.45 3.25
Marathonbet 2.12 3.40 3.26
Pinnacle 2.17 3.56 3.43
SBO 2.18 3.12 2.85
Superbet 2.20 3.40 3.25
Unibet 2.28 3.45 3.00
William Hill 2.15 3.25 3.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.