Fenerbahçe
vs
Konyaspor
4 – 2 Full time
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor
| Probability | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.0% | 24.6% | 16.4% |
| Market | 72.3% | 17.7% | 10.0% |
| Final | 69.0% | 19.4% | 11.6% |
| Edge | -13.3% | +6.9% | +6.4% |
Why Fenerbahçe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor attack and defence ratings
Fenerbahçe
Konyaspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor: result vs prediction
Fenerbahçe 4 – 2 Konyaspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 69.0% | 1.45 | -13.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 69.0% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Konyaspor | 11.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 45.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 11.2% |
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor stats
Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor recent form
| Fenerbahçe |
DLWWDW |
| Konyaspor |
LLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Konyaspor | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 0-3 |
| 2025-12-15 | Fenerbahçe | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.4%, draw 17.6%, away 10.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.28 | 5.50 | 9.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.87 | 10.40 |
| 888Sport | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.25 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.50 | 9.75 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.25 | 9.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 5.53 | 9.87 |
| SBO | 1.28 | 5.13 | 7.91 |
| Superbet | 1.31 | 5.50 | 8.30 |
| Unibet | 1.26 | 5.40 | 9.50 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .