Kocaelispor
vs
Amed
2 – 0 Full time
Kocaelispor vs Amed overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kocaelispor vs Amed
| Probability | Kocaelispor | Draw | Amed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.1% | 24.7% | 63.2% |
| Market | 42.3% | 28.9% | 28.9% |
| Final | 34.7% | 27.8% | 37.5% |
| Edge | -30.2% | -4.2% | +34.3% |
Why Amed
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Amed below the model: +34.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kocaelispor and Amed expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Kocaelispor and Amed attack and defence ratings
Kocaelispor
Amed
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kocaelispor vs Amed: result vs prediction
Kocaelispor 2 – 0 Amed
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kocaelispor vs Amed markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amed | 37.5% | 2.67 | +34.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kocaelispor | 34.7% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Amed | 37.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 37.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 36.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-2 | 14.0% | |
| 1-1 | 11.3% |
Kocaelispor vs Amed stats
Kocaelispor and Amed recent form
| Kocaelispor |
LLLDLD |
| Amed |
WDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kocaelispor vs Amed head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | Kocaelispor | Amed | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-02 | Amed | Kocaelispor | 1. Lig | 3-0 |
| 2021-03-24 | Kocaelispor | Amed | 2. Lig | 1-2 |
| 2020-11-18 | Amed | Kocaelispor | 2. Lig | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kocaelispor vs Amed odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 28.9%, away 28.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.28 | 3.41 |
| 888Sport | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.15 | 3.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.25 | 3.41 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.00 | 3.05 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .