Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 2

Rizespor vs Samsunspor

0 – 2 Full time

Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, RizeReferee: Omer Faruk Turtay, Türkiye

Rizespor 43%
Draw 27%
Samsunspor 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Rizespor vs Samsunspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rizespor vs Samsunspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRizesporDrawSamsunspor
Model37.1%22.4%40.5%
Market44.9%28.0%27.1%
Final43.0%26.6%30.4%
Edge-7.8%-5.6%+13.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rizespor ↓ / Samsunspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Rizespor and Samsunspor expected goals

Rizespor 1.92
Samsunspor 2.01

Total expected goals: 3.93

Rizespor and Samsunspor attack and defence ratings

Rizespor

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Samsunspor

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rizespor vs Samsunspor: result vs prediction

Rizespor 0 – 2 Samsunspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Rizespor vs Samsunspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rizespor 43.0% 2.33 -7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.1% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.7% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.9% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rizespor43.0%
Draw26.6%
Samsunspor30.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.1%
Under 2.524.9%
Both teams to scoreYes74.7%
No25.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.6%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)57.0%
Handicap -1Rizespor win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss62.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.3%
1-27.6%
2-27.3%

Rizespor vs Samsunspor stats

Rizespor and Samsunspor recent form

newest first
Rizespor WDLWLD
Samsunspor DWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rizespor vs Samsunspor head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Rizespor wins 1Draws 0Samsunspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-09RizesporSamsunsporSüper Lig4-1
2025-10-27SamsunsporRizesporSüper Lig1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rizespor vs Samsunspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 28.0%, away 27.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.35 2.98
1xBet 2.17 3.37 3.64
888Sport 2.30 3.10 3.00
Bet365 2.00 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.30
Betano 2.07 3.30 3.50
Betfair 2.05 3.30 3.60
Dafabet 2.11 3.45 3.50
Marathonbet 2.09 3.24 3.50
Pinnacle 2.13 3.38 3.72
SBO 2.09 3.18 2.96
Superbet 2.10 3.40 3.45
Unibet 2.17 3.35 3.30
William Hill 2.05 3.40 3.25

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.