Samsunspor
vs
Fenerbahçe
0 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | V. Muriqi | ||
| 16′ | F. KayaA. Sekongo | ||
| 46′ | T. BorevkovicY. E. Cift | ||
| 49′ | O. Aydin | ||
| 63′ | V. MuriqiR. Lukaku | ||
| 64′ | M. GreenwoodI. Yuksek | ||
| 66′ | Y. KayanA. Sousa | ||
| 70′ | Romelu Lukaku | ||
| 78′ | I. KahveciD. Nene | ||
| 86′ | C. YukselS. Onur | ||
| 86′ | S. JarjuT. Bulbul | ||
| 86′ | O. AydinL. Mercan | ||
| 86′ | M. GuendouziB. Elmaz |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 495 | Accurate passes | 345 |
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe
| Probability | Samsunspor | Draw | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 23.7% | 38.4% |
| Market | 18.9% | 22.3% | 58.8% |
| Final | 23.7% | 22.7% | 53.7% |
| Edge | +19.0% | +1.4% | -20.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Samsunspor and Fenerbahçe expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.60
Samsunspor and Fenerbahçe attack and defence ratings
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe: result vs prediction
Samsunspor 0 – 2 Fenerbahçe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 53.7% | 1.86 | -20.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samsunspor | 23.7% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Fenerbahçe | 53.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.7% |
| No | 29.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe stats
Samsunspor and Fenerbahçe recent form
| Samsunspor |
WDWLWW |
| Fenerbahçe |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Fenerbahçe | Samsunspor | Süper Lig | 3-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Samsunspor | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 22.3%, away 58.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.58 |
| 1xBet | 5.09 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.05 | 4.20 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 4.42 | 3.71 | 1.54 |
| Unibet | 5.30 | 4.25 | 1.56 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .