Kocaelispor
vs
Samsunspor
1 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | F. Aye | ||
| 28′ | Massadio Haïdara | ||
| 46′ | U. YildizM. Susoho | ||
| 46′ | D. AgyeiM. Baku | ||
| 68′ | B. KutluT. Gulliksen | ||
| 69′ | S. OnurE. Albak | ||
| 77′ | Y. KayanI. Drapinski | ||
| 82′ | F. AyeM. Altunbas | ||
| 88′ | A. SekongoS. Erakovic | ||
| 90′ | G. SousaE. Ortakaya |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 342 | Accurate passes | 466 |
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor
| Probability | Kocaelispor | Draw | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.8% | 28.9% | 42.3% |
| Market | 42.1% | 30.1% | 27.9% |
| Final | 38.7% | 29.8% | 31.5% |
| Edge | -13.3% | -1.2% | +14.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kocaelispor and Samsunspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Kocaelispor and Samsunspor attack and defence ratings
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor: result vs prediction
Kocaelispor 1 – 0 Samsunspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kocaelispor | 38.7% | 2.58 | -13.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kocaelispor | 38.7% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Samsunspor | 31.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kocaelispor win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 71.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.1% |
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor stats
Kocaelispor and Samsunspor recent form
| Kocaelispor |
WWLLLD |
| Samsunspor |
LWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Samsunspor | Kocaelispor | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Kocaelispor | Samsunspor | Süper Lig | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-21 | Samsunspor | Kocaelispor | 1. Lig | 3-0 |
| 2021-08-28 | Kocaelispor | Samsunspor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 29.7%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.56 | 3.15 | 2.76 |
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.12 | 3.58 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.00 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.15 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.00 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.08 | 3.65 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Superbet | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .