Galatasaray
vs
Kocaelispor
1 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel | ||
| 56′ | Deniz Gül | ||
| 59′ | Gabriel SaraA. Batrakov | ||
| 59′ | D. AgyeiM. Baku | ||
| 71′ | A. Bardakci | ||
| 77′ | Y. AkgunL. Ugochukwu | ||
| 77′ | D. GulL. Sane | ||
| 77′ | B. KutluT. Bingol | ||
| 78′ | F. AyeM. Altunbas | ||
| 86′ | E. ElmaliI. Jakobs | ||
| 86′ | R. LeaoK. Karatas | ||
| 86′ | M. SusohoU. Yildiz | ||
| 86′ | T. ZoukrouA. Ozyar | ||
| 90′ | Roland Sallai |
Match stats
| 29 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 16 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 423 | Accurate passes | 245 |
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor
| Probability | Galatasaray | Draw | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.6% | 26.3% | 22.1% |
| Market | 75.1% | 16.3% | 8.5% |
| Final | 69.3% | 18.8% | 11.9% |
| Edge | -23.5% | +9.9% | +13.6% |
Why Galatasaray
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.05.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Galatasaray and Kocaelispor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Galatasaray and Kocaelispor attack and defence ratings
Galatasaray
Kocaelispor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor: result vs prediction
Galatasaray 1 – 0 Kocaelispor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 69.3% | 1.44 | -23.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 69.3% |
| Draw | 18.8% | |
| Kocaelispor | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.7% |
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor stats
Galatasaray and Kocaelispor recent form
| Galatasaray |
LWWWDL |
| Kocaelispor |
WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Galatasaray | Kocaelispor | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Kocaelispor | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.3%, draw 16.4%, away 8.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.24 | 5.60 | 12.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 6.46 | 12.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.29 | 6.00 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 5.70 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 6.10 | 11.23 |
| SBO | 1.29 | 4.70 | 6.57 |
| Unibet | 1.18 | 6.25 | 13.00 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .