Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK

1 – 5 Full time

1′J. Ramirez
5′L. Tomasson
10′C. Under
15′C. Under
31′G. Sazdagi
58′M. DiomandeB. Ozdemir
67′S. OnurA. Sekongo
67′S. JarjuM. Bayo
68′FredyE. Mahmic
68′C. UnderY. Moukoko
69′A. Kyziridis
71′J. Ramirez
80′G. SazdagiG. Gurpuz
80′J. RamirezAlexandre Penetra
80′Y. KayanY. E. Cift
81′Y. Ramadani
89′J. MendesM. Tan
90′A. Borza

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, SamsunReferee: Ali Sansalan, Türkiye

Samsunspor 42%
Draw 28%
Çorum FK 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
61 Possession % 39
8 Corners 2
12 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
509 Accurate passes 321

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Samsunspor vs Çorum FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySamsunsporDrawÇorum FK
Model38.8%25.8%35.4%
Market42.9%28.2%28.9%
Final41.8%27.6%30.5%
Edge-4.1%-2.4%+6.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Samsunspor ↓ / Çorum FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Samsunspor and Çorum FK expected goals

Samsunspor 1.61
Çorum FK 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.14

Samsunspor and Çorum FK attack and defence ratings

Samsunspor

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Çorum FK

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK: result vs prediction

Samsunspor 1 – 5 Çorum FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Samsunspor 41.8% 2.39 -4.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.7% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.2% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Samsunspor41.8%
Draw27.6%
Çorum FK30.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.6%
Under 2.539.4%
Both teams to scoreYes63.7%
No36.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.5%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)58.2%
Handicap -1Samsunspor win20.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss61.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK stats

Samsunspor and Çorum FK recent form

newest first
Samsunspor LLWDWL
Çorum FK WLLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Samsunspor wins 0Draws 1Çorum FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-03-26SamsunsporÇorum FKFriendlies Clubs6-1
2019-12-08Çorum FKSamsunspor2. Lig2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 28.1%, away 28.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.12 3.45 3.25
1xBet 2.23 3.42 3.42
Bet365 2.15 3.40 3.10
BetVictor 2.10 3.50 3.00
Betano 2.22 3.25 3.20
Betfair 2.15 3.25 3.25
Dafabet 2.09 3.40 3.60
Marathonbet 2.16 3.28 3.28
Pinnacle 2.25 3.33 3.46
SBO 2.23 3.21 2.87
Unibet 2.04 3.25 3.45
William Hill 2.15 3.10 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.16 ▲ +0.28
X 3.28 ▼ -0.31
2 3.20 ▼ -0.93

13 snapshots recorded, from .