Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor

1 – 2 Full time

28′C. Under
40′S. Saatci
46′M. DiomandeA. Ildiz
46′S. SaatciC. Soyuncu
56′A. Borza
58′A. Ildiz
58′Hwang Ui-JoM. Elia
60′C. UnderY. Moukoko
67′G. Makouta
71′FredyE. Mahmic
75′P. FernandesI. Hagi
75′B. GezekI. Kaya
76′BikoueA. Usluoglu
76′J. Ramirez
79′A. Usluoglu
89′A. BorzaE. Gurluk

Corum Stadyumu, CorumReferee: A. Akarsu

Çorum FK 46%
Draw 28%
Alanyaspor 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
67 Possession % 33
3 Corners 2
18 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
505 Accurate passes 224

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÇorum FKDrawAlanyaspor
Model50.5%25.7%23.9%
Market44.5%28.8%26.7%
Final46.0%28.0%26.0%
Edge+6.0%-3.1%-2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Çorum FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.16.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Çorum FK below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Çorum FK ↓ / Alanyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Çorum FK and Alanyaspor expected goals

Çorum FK 1.76
Alanyaspor 1.16

Total expected goals: 2.92

Çorum FK and Alanyaspor attack and defence ratings

Çorum FK

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Alanyaspor

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor: result vs prediction

Çorum FK 1 – 2 Alanyaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Çorum FK 46.0% 2.17 +6.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.5% 2.02 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Çorum FK46.0%
Draw28.0%
Alanyaspor26.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.9%
No42.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.0%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Çorum FK win28.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss49.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.7%
1-08.4%

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor stats

Çorum FK and Alanyaspor recent form

newest first
Çorum FK WWLLDW
Alanyaspor DWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Çorum FK and Alanyaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Çorum FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

Alanyaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Çorum FK wins 0Draws 1Alanyaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-04Çorum FKAlanyasporTürkiye Kupası0-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 28.8%, away 26.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.42 3.60
Bet365 2.10 3.20 3.50
BetVictor 2.05 3.25 3.30
Betano 2.10 3.30 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.25 3.50
Marathonbet 2.08 3.28 3.45
Pinnacle 2.15 3.41 3.63
SBO 2.14 2.91 2.94
William Hill 2.00 3.20 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.14
X 3.25 —
2 3.50 ▲ +0.25

13 snapshots recorded, from .