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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

4 – 0 Full time

9′A. Skov Olsen
24′A. TraoreR. Luis
26′Abdurrahim Dursun
27′Umut Güneş
33′E. Shomurodov
46′P. MendesS. Koita
53′D. Selke
57′Olivier Kemen
62′U. GunesJ. Kaluzinski
62′O. KemenO. Ergun
63′O. DiabateS. Ucan
65′E. Shomurodov
69′D. SelkeB. Yildirim
77′E. ShomurodovB. Ozcan
77′I. BrnicA. Fayzullaev
82′A. DursunM. Baltaci
82′T. GouveiaP. Martor

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, IstanbulReferee: A. Karaoglan

Başakşehir 55%
Draw 24%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 0
54 Possession % 46
3 Corners 7
11 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
0 Saves 7
428 Accurate passes 350

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBaşakşehirDrawGençlerbirliği S.K.
Model46.7%26.6%26.7%
Market58.1%22.5%19.4%
Final55.2%23.6%21.2%
Edge-11.4%+4.1%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Başakşehir

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.20.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Başakşehir ↓ / Gençlerbirliği → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Başakşehir and Gençlerbirliği S.K. expected goals

Başakşehir 1.65
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.85

Başakşehir and Gençlerbirliği S.K. attack and defence ratings

Başakşehir

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: result vs prediction

Başakşehir 4 – 0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Başakşehir 55.2% 1.81 -11.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.7% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.3% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Başakşehir55.2%
Draw23.6%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.21.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.3%
Under 2.545.7%
Both teams to scoreYes57.7%
No42.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.8%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)44.8%
Handicap -1Başakşehir win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss53.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.4%
1-08.4%

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. stats

Başakşehir and Gençlerbirliği S.K. recent form

newest first
Başakşehir LLDLWL
Gençlerbirliği S.K. LLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Başakşehir and Gençlerbirliği S.K. going into this match

league record before kick-off

Başakşehir record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Başakşehir wins 2Draws 2Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11BaşakşehirGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig3-0
2025-11-07Gençlerbirliği S.K.BaşakşehirSüper Lig2-1
2021-03-07Gençlerbirliği S.K.BaşakşehirSüper Lig0-1
2020-11-08BaşakşehirGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig2-1
2020-01-31BaşakşehirGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig3-1
2019-09-01Gençlerbirliği S.K.BaşakşehirSüper Lig1-2
2018-02-26BaşakşehirGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig1-1
2017-09-23Gençlerbirliği S.K.BaşakşehirSüper Lig1-0
2017-05-13BaşakşehirGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig2-1
2016-12-10Gençlerbirliği S.K.BaşakşehirSüper Lig0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.7%, draw 22.3%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.65 4.38 5.11
Bet365 1.62 4.10 4.75
BetVictor 1.57 4.00 4.75
Betano 1.65 4.30 5.30
Betfair 1.57 4.20 5.00
Marathonbet 1.58 4.20 4.90
Pinnacle 1.62 4.42 5.20
SBO 1.46 3.81 4.94
William Hill 1.60 4.00 4.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.61 ▼ -0.02
X 4.15 ▲ +0.08
2 4.83 ▼ -0.17

14 snapshots recorded, from .