Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor

0 – 0 Full time

24′Matei Ilie
30′Cláudio Winck
40′Adil Demirbağ
53′Marko Jevtović
58′Rayyan Baniya
58′M. JevtovicE. Bardhi
61′M. RaffertyH. Hajradinovic
68′Melih İbrahimoğlu
71′J. JessenA. Karapo
71′A. KolT. Diarra
74′D. GoncalvesJ. Dompe
74′J. MulekaMostafa Mohamed
85′Ayberk Karapo
88′A. BenedyczakA. Arous
89′D. TurucE. Colley

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Davut Dakul Celik, Türkiye

Kasımpaşa 42%
Draw 29%
Konyaspor 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
47 Possession % 53
6 Corners 4
17 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
280 Accurate passes 330

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKasımpaşaDrawKonyaspor
Model49.9%27.1%23.0%
Market38.9%29.8%31.3%
Final41.7%29.1%29.2%
Edge+11.0%-2.6%-8.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Kasımpaşa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kasımpaşa below the model: +11.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kasımpaşa ↓ / Konyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor expected goals

Kasımpaşa 1.62
Konyaspor 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.65

Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor attack and defence ratings

Kasımpaşa

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Konyaspor

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor: result vs prediction

Kasımpaşa 0 – 0 Konyaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kasımpaşa 41.7% 2.40 +11.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.6% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.9% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kasımpaşa41.7%
Draw29.1%
Konyaspor29.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.4%
Under 2.550.6%
Both teams to scoreYes52.8%
No47.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.8%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)58.3%
Handicap -1Kasımpaşa win27.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-010.2%
2-19.5%

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor stats

Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor recent form

newest first
Kasımpaşa WDDWDW
Konyaspor WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kasımpaşa record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Konyaspor record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Kasımpaşa wins 6Draws 4Konyaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08KonyasporKasımpaşaSüper Lig1-1
2025-10-05KasımpaşaKonyasporSüper Lig1-1
2025-01-19KonyasporKasımpaşaSüper Lig3-3
2024-08-10KasımpaşaKonyasporSüper Lig2-3
2024-04-13KasımpaşaKonyasporSüper Lig0-2
2023-11-25KonyasporKasımpaşaSüper Lig2-0
2023-04-23KasımpaşaKonyasporSüper Lig1-2
2022-10-29KonyasporKasımpaşaSüper Lig1-1
2022-02-18KonyasporKasımpaşaSüper Lig4-4
2021-09-27KasımpaşaKonyasporSüper Lig2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.9%, draw 29.8%, away 31.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.51 3.26 3.07
Bet365 2.35 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.45 3.20 2.88
Betano 2.42 3.15 2.95
Betfair 2.40 3.00 3.00
Marathonbet 2.38 3.12 3.00
Pinnacle 2.54 3.21 3.05
SBO 2.41 3.07 2.71
William Hill 2.40 3.00 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.41 ▲ +0.04
X 3.15 ▼ -0.27
2 3.00 ▲ +0.09

14 snapshots recorded, from .