Erzurumspor FK
vs
Samsunspor
1 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | M. Cardoso | ||
| 33′ | E. Owusu | ||
| 45′ | M. Cardoso | ||
| 46′ | S. JarjuT. Coulibaly | ||
| 57′ | M. RodriguezS. Akgun | ||
| 64′ | S. Onur | ||
| 65′ | E. WattA. Sekongo | ||
| 66′ | E. TozluG. Kerk | ||
| 66′ | M. CardosoI. Diabate | ||
| 77′ | B. Baiye | ||
| 79′ | S. OnurY. Kayan | ||
| 81′ | O. OvacikliF. Ebosele | ||
| 86′ | E. Kilinc |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 334 | Accurate passes | 481 |
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor
| Probability | Erzurumspor FK | Draw | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 25.6% | 32.1% |
| Market | 36.4% | 29.9% | 33.7% |
| Final | 37.9% | 28.8% | 33.3% |
| Edge | +6.0% | -4.4% | -1.6% |
Why Erzurumspor FK
- The market prices Erzurumspor FK below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor attack and defence ratings
Erzurumspor FK
Samsunspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor: result vs prediction
Erzurumspor FK 1 – 0 Samsunspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Erzurumspor FK | 37.9% | 2.64 | +6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Erzurumspor FK | 37.9% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Samsunspor | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% |
| No | 36.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Erzurumspor FK win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor stats
Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor recent form
| Erzurumspor FK |
LWDLLD |
| Samsunspor |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor going into this match
Erzurumspor FK record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Samsunspor record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-30 | Samsunspor | Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Erzurumspor FK | Samsunspor | 1. Lig | 2-2 |
| 2022-03-19 | Erzurumspor FK | Samsunspor | 1. Lig | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-23 | Samsunspor | Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig | 0-0 |
| 2018-02-11 | Samsunspor | Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2017-09-10 | Erzurumspor FK | Samsunspor | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 29.9%, away 33.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.21 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.08 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.16 | 2.96 |
| SBO | 2.48 | 3.06 | 2.63 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 2.90 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .