Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK

2 – 0 Full time

24′M. HaidaraM. Cinan
37′H. Dervisoglu
56′B. Kutlu
60′L. PerezS. Hansen
60′V. GidadoD. Camara
63′G. Sousa
64′K. Kozlowski
70′H. DervisogluS. Dursun
70′A. MaximJ. Bacuna
74′M. AltunbasM. Baku
74′F. AyeD. Agyei
76′D. Agyei
79′U. MelekeT. Stewart
87′M. SusohoT. Bingol
87′G. SousaE. Bilim

Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, IzmitReferee: H. U. Meler

Kocaelispor 38%
Draw 32%
Gaziantep FK 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
52 Possession % 48
1 Corners 1
14 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
332 Accurate passes 309

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKocaelisporDrawGaziantep FK
Model33.9%34.1%31.9%
Market39.1%31.6%29.3%
Final37.8%32.2%29.9%
Edge-5.2%+2.6%+2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Kocaelispor

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kocaelispor ↓ / Gaziantep FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK expected goals

Kocaelispor 0.99
Gaziantep FK 0.95

Total expected goals: 1.94

Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK attack and defence ratings

Kocaelispor

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Gaziantep FK

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK: result vs prediction

Kocaelispor 2 – 0 Gaziantep FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kocaelispor 37.8% 2.64 -5.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.4% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score No 60.2% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.1% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kocaelispor37.8%
Draw32.2%
Gaziantep FK29.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.6%
Under 2.569.4%
Both teams to scoreYes39.8%
No60.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.1%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.2%
Handicap -1Kocaelispor win13.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss66.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.8%
1-114.9%
1-012.9%

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK stats

Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK recent form

newest first
Kocaelispor LWWWLL
Gaziantep FK DWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kocaelispor record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Gaziantep FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Kocaelispor wins 0Draws 3Gaziantep FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-15KocaelisporGaziantep FKSüper Lig3-0
2026-01-13Gaziantep FKKocaelisporTürkiye Kupası1-0
2025-09-14Gaziantep FKKocaelisporSüper Lig2-0
2020-12-16Gaziantep FKKocaelisporTürkiye Kupası3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 31.6%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.48 3.06 3.32
Bet365 2.45 2.90 3.20
BetVictor 2.30 3.10 3.00
Betano 2.37 2.90 3.30
Betfair 2.30 3.10 3.10
Marathonbet 2.38 2.95 3.18
Pinnacle 2.48 3.05 3.32
SBO 2.11 2.93 2.99
William Hill 2.38 2.88 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.38 ▲ +0.07
X 2.95 ▼ -0.43
2 3.18 ▲ +0.16

13 snapshots recorded, from .