Beşiktaş
vs
Kocaelispor
2 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | O. Kokcu | ||
| 27′ | Show | ||
| 29′ | Tayfur Bingöl | ||
| 31′ | D. Vlahovic | ||
| 39′ | V. CernyI. Fakili | ||
| 61′ | G. SousaR. Rivas | ||
| 70′ | T. BingolT. Gulliksen | ||
| 71′ | E. TopcuE. Agbadou | ||
| 71′ | R. YilmazK. Ouattara | ||
| 71′ | S. OzcanW. Ndidi | ||
| 71′ | D. AgyeiF. Aye | ||
| 78′ | Leandro Trossard | ||
| 78′ | Serhat Öztaşdelen | ||
| 84′ | O. KokcuK. Kayra Yilmaz | ||
| 87′ | U. YildizM. Cinan | ||
| 87′ | O. OztongaM. Baku |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 420 | Accurate passes | 276 |
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor
| Probability | Beşiktaş | Draw | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.3% | 26.6% | 15.1% |
| Market | 75.9% | 15.8% | 8.3% |
| Final | 71.5% | 18.5% | 10.0% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +2.7% | +1.7% |
Why Beşiktaş
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.72.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor attack and defence ratings
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor: result vs prediction
Beşiktaş 2 – 1 Kocaelispor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 71.5% | 1.40 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 71.5% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Kocaelispor | 10.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.5% |
| No | 57.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 41.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.4% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.3% |
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor stats
Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor recent form
| Beşiktaş |
LWWWWL |
| Kocaelispor |
WLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor going into this match
Beşiktaş record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kocaelispor record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Kocaelispor | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Kocaelispor | Beşiktaş | Türkiye Kupası | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-29 | Beşiktaş | Kocaelispor | Süper Lig | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.9%, draw 15.8%, away 8.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 6.65 | 12.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 5.75 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 6.40 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.24 | 6.20 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 5.90 | 10.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 6.42 | 11.82 |
| SBO | 1.23 | 5.61 | 9.45 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.80 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .