Hoffenheim
vs
Beşiktaş
2 – 3 Full time
| 23′ | Fisnik Asllani | ||
| 45′ | Orkun KökçüFabio Miretti | ||
| 59′ | Adam HložekTim Lemperle | ||
| 59′ | Adam DaghimAlexander Prass | ||
| 60′ | Amir Murillo | ||
| 67′ | Ozan Kabak | ||
| 68′ | Fisnik Asllani | ||
| 72′ | Wouter BurgerNathan De Cat | ||
| 72′ | Andrej KramarićBambasé Conté | ||
| 72′ | Oh Hyeon-gyu | ||
| 78′ | Junior OlaitanSalih Özcan | ||
| 79′ | Oh Hyeon-gyu | ||
| 80′ | Oh Hyeon-gyu | ||
| 85′ | Oh Hyeon-gyuSemih Kılıçsoy | ||
| 85′ | Ozan KabakRobin Hranáč | ||
| 87′ | Koki Machida | ||
| 90′ | Tim Lemperle | ||
| 90′ | Kassoum OuattaraRidvan Yilmaz | ||
| 90′ | Wilfred NdidiUmit Akdag | ||
| 90′ | Koki Machida | ||
| 90′ | Vladimír Coufal |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 383 | Accurate passes | 332 |
Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş
| Probability | Hoffenheim | Draw | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.1% | 23.0% | 48.9% |
| Market | 48.8% | 23.9% | 27.3% |
| Final | 43.6% | 23.7% | 32.7% |
| Edge | -5.2% | -0.2% | +5.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.60
Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş attack and defence ratings
Hoffenheim
Beşiktaş
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş: result vs prediction
Hoffenheim 2 – 3 Beşiktaş
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Torreense vs Sunderland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoffenheim | 43.6% | 2.29 | -5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoffenheim | 43.6% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Beşiktaş | 32.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% |
| No | 30.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hoffenheim win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.3% | |
| Loss | 72.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş stats
Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş recent form
| Hoffenheim |
LLLWLL |
| Beşiktaş |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş going into this match
Beşiktaş record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 23.9%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 4.06 | 3.55 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 4.05 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 4.03 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.74 | 3.23 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .