Lech Poznan
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
0 – 4 Full time
| 15′ | Wojciech MonkaTerry Yegbe | ||
| 18′ | Martin TerrierPatrik Schick | ||
| 29′ | Patrik Schick | ||
| 32′ | Malik Tillman | ||
| 40′ | Mateusz Skrzypczak | ||
| 41′ | Patrik Schick | ||
| 60′ | Leo BengtssonFilip Jagiełło | ||
| 60′ | Mikael IshakY. Agnero | ||
| 60′ | Patrick WalemarkDaniel Håkans | ||
| 62′ | Nathan TellaMoussa Diaby | ||
| 62′ | Aleix GarcíaRobert Andrich | ||
| 62′ | Miguel GutiérrezFacundo Medina | ||
| 68′ | Robert Andrich | ||
| 74′ | Gustav BerggrenPablo Rodriguez Delgado | ||
| 76′ | Patrik SchickAfonso Moreira | ||
| 80′ | Moussa Diaby | ||
| 88′ | Ibrahim Maza |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 7 | Saves | 3 |
| 295 | Accurate passes | 534 |
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen
| Probability | Lech Poznan | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 19.7% | 27.0% |
| Market | 18.3% | 20.5% | 61.2% |
| Final | 27.0% | 20.3% | 52.7% |
| Edge | +8.8% | -0.2% | -8.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lech Poznan and Bayer Leverkusen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.43
Lech Poznan and Bayer Leverkusen attack and defence ratings
Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen: result vs prediction
Lech Poznan 0 – 4 Bayer Leverkusen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 52.7% | 1.90 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lech Poznan | 27.0% |
| Draw | 20.3% | |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 52.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.5% |
| No | 21.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayer Leverkusen win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.2% | |
| Loss | 73.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.3% |
| 2-2 | 6.8% | |
| 3-1 | 6.3% |
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen stats
Lech Poznan and Bayer Leverkusen recent form
| Lech Poznan |
WWLLWW |
| Bayer Leverkusen |
WWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lech Poznan and Bayer Leverkusen going into this match
Lech Poznan record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 20.5%, away 61.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.22 | 4.82 | 1.58 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.60 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.70 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.70 | 1.58 |
| Marathonbet | 5.15 | 4.75 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | 5.33 | 4.82 | 1.56 |
| SBO | 5.03 | 4.53 | 1.50 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 4.40 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .