Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Slask Wroclaw
vs
Lech Poznan
1 – 4 Full time
| 17′ | Filip Jagiełło | ||
| 31′ | Filip Jagiełło | ||
| 45′ | Wojciech Monka | ||
| 45′ | Michal Gurgul | ||
| 50′ | Pablo Rodriguez Delgado | ||
| 56′ | Karol Linetty | ||
| 60′ | Filip Jagiełłoantoni kozubal | ||
| 60′ | Robert GumnyPatrick Walemark | ||
| 61′ | luka marjanacMalaly Dembele | ||
| 61′ | Karol LinettyAdam Ciućka | ||
| 70′ | Patrick Walemark | ||
| 72′ | Leo BengtssonDaniel Håkans | ||
| 72′ | Mikael IshakY. Agnero | ||
| 73′ | Patrick Walemark | ||
| 75′ | Przemyslaw BanaszakLeltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes | ||
| 75′ | Piotr Samiec-TalarEniss Shabani | ||
| 76′ | Radosław MurawskiGustav Berggren | ||
| 88′ | Marc Llinares | ||
| 90′ | Grzegorz Tomasiewicz | ||
| 90′ | Patrick Walemark |
Slask Wroclaw
22%
Draw
22%
Lech Poznan
56%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 251 | Accurate passes | 444 |
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan
| Probability | Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 23.3% | 46.9% |
| Market | 19.2% | 21.7% | 59.0% |
| Final | 21.9% | 22.1% | 56.0% |
| Edge | +2.7% | +0.4% | -3.0% |
Why Lech Poznan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan expected goals
Slask Wroclaw
1.58
Lech Poznan
2.00
Total expected goals: 3.59
Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan attack and defence ratings
Slask Wroclaw
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Lech Poznan
Attack
1.55 +55%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan: result vs prediction
Slask Wroclaw 1 – 4 Lech Poznan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock — team news & stats
- Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice
- Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
- Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
- Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź — match page
- Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
- Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow — team news & stats
- Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin — match page
Before and after this match
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lech Poznan | 56.0% | 1.79 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slask Wroclaw | 21.9% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Lech Poznan | 56.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lech Poznan win | 27.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan stats
Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan recent form
| Slask Wroclaw |
LLLWDD |
| Lech Poznan |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan going into this match
Slask Wroclaw record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lech Poznan record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Slask Wroclaw wins
1Draws
4Lech Poznan wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Slask Wroclaw | Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Lech Poznan | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Lech Poznan | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Slask Wroclaw | Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
| 2023-02-26 | Slask Wroclaw | Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-19 | Lech Poznan | Slask Wroclaw | Cup | 1-3 |
| 2022-08-14 | Lech Poznan | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2022-04-01 | Slask Wroclaw | Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-02 | Lech Poznan | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 4-0 |
| 2021-02-21 | Lech Poznan | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.2%, draw 21.7%, away 59.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.67 | 4.30 | 1.58 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 4.90 | 4.40 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 4.30 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | 5.04 | 4.55 | 1.60 |
| SBO | 4.43 | 3.94 | 1.55 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.80 ▼ -0.02
X
4.25 ▼ -0.05
2
1.56 ▼ -0.01
15 snapshots recorded, from .