Ekstraklasa · 2026-10-11T12:45:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 10

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź

2 – 1 Full time

29′			Jakub Labojko
39′			Jusuf Gazibegovic
45′			Jason LokiloIvan Lima
56′			Sebastian BergierKarol Świderski
56′			mariusz fornalczykDarian Males
65′			Fran AlvarezDani Silva
68′			Giannis Papanikolaou
71′			Karol Świderski
73′			Jusuf GazibegovicMarcel Krajewski
73′			Giannis PapanikolaouJuljan Shehu
73′			Jakub LabojkoOskar·Lesniak
81′			Samuel Ntamack NdimbaAndreas Katsantonis
84′			Mario García Alvear
88′			Jakub Czerwiński
90′			Quentin Boisgard
90′			Quentin BoisgardOliwier Maziarz

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, GliwiceReferee: Jaroslaw Przybyl

Piast Gliwice

40%

Draw

26%

Widzew Łódź

34%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

18	Shots	17
5	Shots on target	3
54	Possession %	46
6	Corners	13
12	Fouls	16
2	Offsides	1
2	Saves	4
356	Accurate passes	270

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Piast Gliwice	Draw	Widzew Łódź
Model	54.4%	24.7%	20.8%
Market	35.3%	26.6%	38.2%
Final	40.1%	26.1%	33.8%
Edge	+4.8%	-0.5%	-4.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Piast Gliwice

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.08.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Piast Gliwice below our published probability: +4.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

80%

3+ goals

56%

No goals

Piast Gliwice and Widzew Łódź expected goals

Piast Gliwice

1.86

Widzew Łódź

1.08

Total expected goals: 2.94

Piast Gliwice and Widzew Łódź attack and defence ratings

Piast Gliwice

Attack

1.23 +23%

Defence

0.95 -5%

Widzew Łódź

Attack

0.94 -6%

Defence

0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź: result vs prediction

Piast Gliwice 2 – 1 Widzew Łódź

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice · 2026-10-09
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Slask Wroclaw v Lech Poznan — match page · 2026-10-10
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze · 2026-10-10
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce · 2026-10-11
Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin — match page · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Piast Gliwice, previous: Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin: odds and pick
Piast Gliwice, next: Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction
Widzew Łódź, previous: Widzew Łódź v Wieczysta Kraków analysis
Widzew Łódź, next: Widzew Łódź v Wisla Krakow analysis

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Piast Gliwice	40.1%	2.50	+4.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.3%	1.78	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	56.8%	1.76	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.9%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	45.6%	2.20	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Piast Gliwice	40.1%
	Draw	26.1%
	Widzew Łódź	33.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.3%
	Under 2.5	43.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	56.8%
	No	43.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	66.2%
	12 (either side)	73.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.9%
Handicap -1	Piast Gliwice win	31.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.6%
	Loss	45.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.7%
	2-1	9.9%
	2-0	9.1%

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź stats

Piast Gliwice and Widzew Łódź recent form

newest first

Piast Gliwice	LWWWWD
Widzew Łódź	DDDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Piast Gliwice and Widzew Łódź going into this match

league record before kick-off

Piast Gliwice record

They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Widzew Łódź record

They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Piast Gliwice wins 0Draws 7Widzew Łódź wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-23	Widzew Łódź	Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa	2-1
2025-11-28	Piast Gliwice	Widzew Łódź	Ekstraklasa	0-2
2025-07-10	Widzew Łódź	Piast Gliwice	Friendlies Clubs	1-0
2025-03-28	Piast Gliwice	Widzew Łódź	Ekstraklasa	0-2
2024-09-21	Widzew Łódź	Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa	1-0
2024-04-07	Widzew Łódź	Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa	1-0
2023-09-29	Piast Gliwice	Widzew Łódź	Ekstraklasa	3-2
2023-04-23	Widzew Łódź	Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa	2-3
2022-10-10	Piast Gliwice	Widzew Łódź	Ekstraklasa	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.3%, draw 26.6%, away 38.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.56	3.50	2.44
Bet365	2.62	3.30	2.40
BetVictor	2.60	3.40	2.40
Betano	2.67	3.45	2.45
Betfair	2.63	3.60	2.40
Dafabet	2.75	3.50	2.50
Marathonbet	2.56	3.50	2.44
Pinnacle	2.78	3.51	2.54
SBO	2.54	3.19	2.36
William Hill	2.62	3.30	2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 —

X 3.48 ▼ -0.02

2 2.42 ▼ -0.03

17 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-03T08:10:03Z.