Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Radomiak Radom
vs
Motor Lublin
2 – 3 Full time
| 9′ | Christopher Simon | ||
| 18′ | Kamil Lukoszek | ||
| 23′ | Bartosz Bereszyński | ||
| 24′ | Filip Koperski | ||
| 33′ | Christos Donis | ||
| 38′ | Makan Aiko | ||
| 45′ | Elves BaldéLucas Lima Linhares | ||
| 53′ | Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye | ||
| 61′ | Makan AikoFabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao | ||
| 61′ | Bartosz BereszyńskiMarek Kristian Bartos | ||
| 61′ | Bi Irié Fernand GouréGuilherme Luiz | ||
| 62′ | Rafał WolskiAbdoul Tapsoba | ||
| 70′ | Karol Czubak | ||
| 73′ | Roberto Oliveira AlvesIbrahima Camará | ||
| 77′ | Rony LopesMateusz Legowski | ||
| 80′ | Steve Kingue | ||
| 83′ | Ronaldo LumungoManu | ||
| 84′ | Lucas Lima Linhares | ||
| 86′ | Marek Kristian Bartos | ||
| 87′ | Yacine BourhanePaskal Konrad Meyer | ||
| 90′ | Christopher Simon |
Radomiak Radom
37%
Draw
27%
Motor Lublin
36%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 7 | Saves | 0 |
| 290 | Accurate passes | 370 |
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
| Probability | Radomiak Radom | Draw | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 28.1% | 42.1% |
| Market | 39.8% | 26.2% | 34.0% |
| Final | 37.3% | 26.7% | 36.0% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
Why Radomiak Radom
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin expected goals
Radomiak Radom
1.21
Motor Lublin
1.48
Total expected goals: 2.69
Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin attack and defence ratings
Radomiak Radom
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
1.37 +37%
Motor Lublin
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: result vs prediction
Radomiak Radom 2 – 3 Motor Lublin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock — team news & stats
- Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice
- Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
- Slask Wroclaw v Lech Poznan — match page
- Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
- Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź — match page
- Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
- Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radomiak Radom | 37.3% | 2.68 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radomiak Radom | 37.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Motor Lublin | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Radomiak Radom win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 70.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-1 | 8.8% |
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin stats
Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin recent form
| Radomiak Radom |
LLDWWD |
| Motor Lublin |
DLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin going into this match
Radomiak Radom record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Motor Lublin record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
1Radomiak Radom wins
3Draws
4Motor Lublin wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-29 | Motor Lublin | Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-24 | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa | 2-3 |
| 2024-12-02 | Motor Lublin | Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-12 | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-02 | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2021-07-17 | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2021-07-16 | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 26.2%, away 34.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.64 | 2.65 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.55 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.65 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.64 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53 | 3.30 | 2.94 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.30 | 2.53 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.33 ▲ +0.05
X
3.52 ▲ +0.07
2
2.73 ▼ -0.07
19 snapshots recorded, from .