Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 10

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock

3 – 0 Full time

Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, KrakowReferee: Bartosz Frankowski

Wieczysta Kraków 44%
Draw 26%
Wisla Plock 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWieczysta KrakówDrawWisla Plock
Model46.2%24.1%29.7%
Market43.2%26.1%30.7%
Final43.9%25.6%30.4%
Edge+3.0%-2.0%-0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Wieczysta Kraków

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.50.
  • The market prices Wieczysta Kraków below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wieczysta Krak ↓ / Wisla Plock → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock expected goals

Wieczysta Kraków 1.90
Wisla Plock 1.50

Total expected goals: 3.40

Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock attack and defence ratings

Wieczysta Kraków

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Wisla Plock

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock: result vs prediction

Wieczysta Kraków 3 – 0 Wisla Plock

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wieczysta Kraków 43.9% 2.28 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.1% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.8% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wieczysta Kraków43.9%
Draw25.6%
Wisla Plock30.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.1%
Under 2.533.9%
Both teams to scoreYes67.1%
No32.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.6%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)56.1%
Handicap -1Wieczysta Kraków win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss53.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-19.0%
1-27.1%

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock stats

Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wieczysta Kraków record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Wisla Plock record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 26.1%, away 30.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 3.60 3.07
Bet365 2.15 3.30 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.50 3.00
Betano 2.15 3.50 3.15
Betfair 2.15 3.60 3.00
Dafabet 2.21 3.60 3.15
Marathonbet 2.08 3.60 3.05
Pinnacle 2.20 3.69 3.20
SBO 2.14 3.21 2.85
William Hill 2.15 3.30 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 —
X 3.55 ▼ -0.05
2 3.02 ▼ -0.03

13 snapshots recorded, from .