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Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 9

Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków

2 – 2 Full time

19′Antonio Milic
37′Lucas Piazón
47′Lucas Piazón
54′Aleksandar Djermanovic
60′José Antonio de la Rosa GarridoPetar Pusic
60′Kamil PestkaMatúš Vojtko
63′Karol ŚwiderskiSebastian Bergier
63′Fran AlvarezDani Silva
65′Mario García Alvear
74′Tobias ChristensenLisandro Semedo
74′Duje DujmovicVillar
74′Stipe BiukAntoni Klukowski
80′Antonio Milic
84′Efthymios KoulourisTobiasz·Mras
86′mariusz fornalczykMateusz Żyro
86′Giannis PapanikolaouLindon Selahi
88′Marcel Krajewski
90′Željko Kopić

Stadion Widzewa Łódź, LodzReferee: Mateusz Piszczelok

Widzew Łódź 49%
Draw 25%
Wieczysta Kraków 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
54 Possession % 46
8 Corners 3
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3
3 Saves 4
317 Accurate passes 334

Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWidzew ŁódźDrawWieczysta Kraków
Model51.3%25.4%23.3%
Market48.6%25.0%26.4%
Final49.3%25.1%25.6%
Edge+2.7%+0.4%-3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Widzew Łódź

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.15.
  • The market prices Widzew Łódź below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Widzew Łódź ↓ / Wieczysta Krak → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Widzew Łódź and Wieczysta Kraków expected goals

Widzew Łódź 1.79
Wieczysta Kraków 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.95

Widzew Łódź and Wieczysta Kraków attack and defence ratings

Widzew Łódź

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Wieczysta Kraków

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków: result vs prediction

Widzew Łódź 2 – 2 Wieczysta Kraków

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Widzew Łódź 49.3% 2.03 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Widzew Łódź49.3%
Draw25.1%
Wieczysta Kraków25.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.5%
Under 2.543.5%
Both teams to scoreYes58.1%
No41.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.4%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)50.7%
Handicap -1Widzew Łódź win29.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss48.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
2-19.7%
2-08.5%

Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków stats

Widzew Łódź and Wieczysta Kraków recent form

newest first
Widzew Łódź DDLLDL
Wieczysta Kraków LDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Widzew Łódź and Wieczysta Kraków going into this match

league record before kick-off

Widzew Łódź record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wieczysta Kraków record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 25.0%, away 26.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 4.00 3.52
Bet365 1.85 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 1.85 3.70 3.50
Betano 1.93 3.70 3.50
Betfair 1.90 3.90 3.50
Marathonbet 1.83 4.00 3.52
Pinnacle 1.93 4.25 3.49
SBO 1.92 3.48 3.33
William Hill 1.91 3.70 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.05
X 3.70 ▲ +0.02
2 3.50 ▼ -0.38

13 snapshots recorded, from .