Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Piast Gliwice
vs
Pogon Szczecin
1 – 2 Full time
| 26′ | Jordi Sánchez | ||
| 31′ | Samuel Ntamack Ndimba | ||
| 48′ | Leandro Mário Baldé Sanca | ||
| 57′ | Darko Churlinov | ||
| 61′ | Ivan LimaJason Lokilo | ||
| 71′ | Kellyn AcostaJan Bieganski | ||
| 73′ | Samuel Ntamack NdimbaAndreas Katsantonis | ||
| 73′ | Jakub LabojkoOskar·Lesniak | ||
| 82′ | Darko ChurlinovMusa Juwara | ||
| 83′ | Alessandro RiccioHussein Ali | ||
| 83′ | Paul Omo MukairuAttila Szalai | ||
| 83′ | Jakub CzerwińskiLevis Pitan | ||
| 83′ | Hugo VallejoJorge Félix | ||
| 90′ | Jakub Lewicki |
Piast Gliwice
42%
Draw
27%
Pogon Szczecin
31%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 521 | Accurate passes | 206 |
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin
| Probability | Piast Gliwice | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 28.2% | 26.2% |
| Market | 40.2% | 26.8% | 33.0% |
| Final | 41.6% | 27.1% | 31.3% |
| Edge | +5.5% | +1.4% | -6.9% |
Why Piast Gliwice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Piast Gliwice below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin expected goals
Piast Gliwice
1.51
Pogon Szczecin
1.09
Total expected goals: 2.59
Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin attack and defence ratings
Piast Gliwice
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Pogon Szczecin
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin: result vs prediction
Piast Gliwice 1 – 2 Pogon Szczecin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków
- Wisla Krakow v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
- Motor Lublin v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
- Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa — match page
- Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Piast Gliwice | 41.6% | 2.41 | +5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Piast Gliwice | 41.6% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Pogon Szczecin | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Piast Gliwice win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin stats
Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin recent form
| Piast Gliwice |
WWWWDL |
| Pogon Szczecin |
WDLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin going into this match
Piast Gliwice record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Pogon Szczecin record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Piast Gliwice wins
3Draws
4Pogon Szczecin wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Piast Gliwice | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Pogon Szczecin | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Piast Gliwice | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Pogon Szczecin | Piast Gliwice | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Pogon Szczecin | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2024-06-26 | Piast Gliwice | Pogon Szczecin | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-20 | Pogon Szczecin | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-20 | Piast Gliwice | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Piast Gliwice | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-15 | Pogon Szczecin | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 26.8%, away 33.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.45 | 2.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.50 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.45 | 2.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.62 | 2.97 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.30 ▼ -0.02
X
3.45 ▼ -0.03
2
2.80 —
14 snapshots recorded, from .