Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Zaglebie Lubin
vs
Wisla Plock
0 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | Filip Szymczak | ||
| 20′ | David Čolina | ||
| 42′ | Afonso Silva | ||
| 44′ | Łukasz Sekulski | ||
| 49′ | Mateusz Grzybek | ||
| 58′ | David ČolinaSebastian Kerk | ||
| 58′ | Mateusz GrzybekDamian Michalski | ||
| 58′ | Filip SzymczakMichalis Kosidis | ||
| 58′ | Szymon LyczkoMihael Mlinarić | ||
| 65′ | Samuel AkereOlaf Kobacki | ||
| 69′ | Jurica PrširKyriakos Savvidis | ||
| 76′ | Patryk Kun | ||
| 81′ | Patryk KunFabian Hiszpański | ||
| 81′ | Sidnei·TavaresMarcin Flis | ||
| 82′ | Łukasz SekulskiSaid Hamulic | ||
| 82′ | Aleks LawniczakIgor Orlikowski | ||
| 89′ | Michał Nalepa | ||
| 90′ | Said Hamulic |
Zaglebie Lubin
43%
Draw
28%
Wisla Plock
29%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 352 | Accurate passes | 315 |
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
| Probability | Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | Wisla Plock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.7% | 24.9% | 18.4% |
| Market | 38.5% | 28.9% | 32.6% |
| Final | 43.0% | 27.9% | 29.1% |
| Edge | +18.2% | -4.0% | -14.2% |
Why Zaglebie Lubin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.96.
- The market prices Zaglebie Lubin below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Zaglebie Lubin and Wisla Plock expected goals
Zaglebie Lubin
1.83
Wisla Plock
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.79
Zaglebie Lubin and Wisla Plock attack and defence ratings
Zaglebie Lubin
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Wisla Plock
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock: result vs prediction
Zaglebie Lubin 0 – 2 Wisla Plock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków
- Wisla Krakow v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
- Motor Lublin v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin — team news & stats
- Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa — match page
- Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zaglebie Lubin | 43.0% | 2.32 | +18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zaglebie Lubin | 43.0% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Wisla Plock | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zaglebie Lubin win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 43.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock stats
Zaglebie Lubin and Wisla Plock recent form
| Zaglebie Lubin |
WWDLDD |
| Wisla Plock |
WDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zaglebie Lubin and Wisla Plock going into this match
Zaglebie Lubin record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wisla Plock record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Zaglebie Lubin wins
1Draws
6Wisla Plock wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | Zaglebie Lubin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Wisla Plock | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Wisla Plock | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | Zaglebie Lubin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2022-02-18 | Zaglebie Lubin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
| 2021-08-20 | Wisla Plock | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 4-0 |
| 2021-05-16 | Wisla Plock | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 4-0 |
| 2021-01-29 | Zaglebie Lubin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2020-07-10 | Zaglebie Lubin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2020-02-23 | Wisla Plock | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.5%, draw 28.9%, away 32.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 3.18 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.35 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 3.18 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.32 | 2.98 |
| SBO | 2.33 | 3.17 | 2.73 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.40 ▲ +0.07
X
3.20 ▼ -0.05
2
2.83 ▼ -0.14
13 snapshots recorded, from .