Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
GKS Katowice
vs
Cracovia Krakow
3 – 2 Full time
| 45′ | Mauro PerkovićVincent Burlet | ||
| 46′ | Martin Minchev | ||
| 54′ | Bartosz Nowak | ||
| 55′ | Mohamed Berte | ||
| 62′ | Szymon bartlewiczMarcel Wedrychowski | ||
| 62′ | Mateusz Wdowiak | ||
| 63′ | Mohamed BerteLasse Selvåg Nordås | ||
| 63′ | Mateusz KlichDominik Baumgartner | ||
| 70′ | Gustav Henrikssonsayfallah ltaief | ||
| 72′ | Lasse Selvåg Nordås | ||
| 74′ | Marcel Wedrychowski | ||
| 76′ | Mateusz·KowalczykBartosz Wolski | ||
| 76′ | Marcin WasielewskiErik Jirka | ||
| 77′ | sayfallah ltaief | ||
| 79′ | Ajdin HasićOtar Kakabadze | ||
| 85′ | Alan CzerwińskiMarius Berntsen Olsen | ||
| 85′ | Mateusz WdowiakBorja Galan | ||
| 90′ | Ilia Shkurin |
GKS Katowice
45%
Draw
26%
Cracovia Krakow
29%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 435 | Accurate passes | 194 |
GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
| Probability | GKS Katowice | Draw | Cracovia Krakow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.2% | 23.5% | 17.3% |
| Market | 40.7% | 26.8% | 32.5% |
| Final | 45.3% | 25.9% | 28.7% |
| Edge | +18.5% | -3.3% | -15.2% |
Why GKS Katowice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices GKS Katowice below the model: +18.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
GKS Katowice and Cracovia Krakow expected goals
GKS Katowice
1.96
Cracovia Krakow
0.98
Total expected goals: 2.94
GKS Katowice and Cracovia Krakow attack and defence ratings
GKS Katowice
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Cracovia Krakow
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow: result vs prediction
GKS Katowice 3 – 2 Cracovia Krakow
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków
- Wisla Krakow v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- Motor Lublin v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin — team news & stats
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
- Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa — match page
- Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats
Before and after this match
GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 45.3% | 2.21 | +18.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 45.3% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Cracovia Krakow | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | GKS Katowice win | 36.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 40.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 10.0% |
GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow stats
GKS Katowice and Cracovia Krakow recent form
| GKS Katowice |
LLWWLW |
| Cracovia Krakow |
LLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GKS Katowice and Cracovia Krakow going into this match
GKS Katowice record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
Cracovia Krakow record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2GKS Katowice wins
0Draws
2Cracovia Krakow wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Cracovia Krakow | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-19 | GKS Katowice | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-11 | GKS Katowice | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Cracovia Krakow | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 26.8%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.44 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.44 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 3.68 | 2.91 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 3.19 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.26 ▼ -0.06
X
3.44 ▲ +0.10
2
2.83 ▼ -0.06
13 snapshots recorded, from .