Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Zaglebie Lubin
vs
GKS Katowice
2 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | Kamil Nowogonski | ||
| 44′ | Damian Dąbrowski | ||
| 45′ | Bartosz WolskiKacper Lukasiak | ||
| 58′ | Filip SzymczakMichalis Kosidis | ||
| 64′ | Eman MarkovićMarcel Wedrychowski | ||
| 68′ | Josip ĆorlukaIgor Orlikowski | ||
| 68′ | Kamil NowogonskiJakub·Sypek | ||
| 73′ | Erik JirkaMateusz Wdowiak | ||
| 78′ | Michalis Kosidis | ||
| 83′ | Mateusz·KowalczykSebastian Milewski | ||
| 83′ | Bartosz NowakSzymon bartlewicz | ||
| 87′ | Filip KocabaJakub Kolan | ||
| 87′ | David ČolinaDamian Michalski | ||
| 90′ | Roman Yakuba | ||
| 90′ | Arkadiusz Jedrych | ||
| 90′ | Jakub Kolan |
Zaglebie Lubin
36%
Draw
28%
GKS Katowice
36%
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 251 | Accurate passes | 394 |
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice
| Probability | Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | GKS Katowice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 29.9% | 34.9% |
| Market | 35.8% | 28.0% | 36.2% |
| Final | 35.7% | 28.5% | 35.9% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +1.9% | -1.3% |
Why GKS Katowice
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Zaglebie Lubin and GKS Katowice expected goals
Zaglebie Lubin
1.23
GKS Katowice
1.22
Total expected goals: 2.46
Zaglebie Lubin and GKS Katowice attack and defence ratings
Zaglebie Lubin
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
0.84 -16%
GKS Katowice
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice: result vs prediction
Zaglebie Lubin 2 – 1 GKS Katowice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin — match page
- Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
- Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
- Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan — match page
- Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
- Pogon Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków — match page
- Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats
- Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
Before and after this match
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 35.9% | 2.79 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zaglebie Lubin | 35.7% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| GKS Katowice | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | GKS Katowice win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.9% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice stats
Zaglebie Lubin and GKS Katowice recent form
| Zaglebie Lubin |
DLDDWL |
| GKS Katowice |
LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zaglebie Lubin and GKS Katowice going into this match
Zaglebie Lubin record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GKS Katowice record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Zaglebie Lubin wins
2Draws
2GKS Katowice wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Zaglebie Lubin | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-28 | GKS Katowice | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | GKS Katowice | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Zaglebie Lubin | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-13 | Zaglebie Lubin | GKS Katowice | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 27.7%, away 35.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.48 | 3.50 | 2.64 |
| 1xBet | 2.58 | 3.30 | 2.58 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 3.30 | 2.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68 | 3.43 | 2.67 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.19 | 2.48 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 3.35 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.58 ▲ +0.03
X
3.30 ▼ -0.10
2
2.55 ▼ -0.10
14 snapshots recorded, from .