Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Slask Wroclaw
vs
Korona Kielce
1 – 2 Full time
| 35′ | Mariusz Stępiński | ||
| 45′ | Grzegorz TomasiewiczDorian markowski | ||
| 45′ | luka marjanacLeltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes | ||
| 64′ | Martin RemacleCamilo Mena | ||
| 64′ | Michael AmeyawMorgan Faßbender | ||
| 69′ | Eniss ShabaniAdam Ciućka | ||
| 69′ | Marc LlinaresJan Jurčec | ||
| 77′ | Ondrej LingrSimon Gustafsson | ||
| 77′ | Mariusz StępińskiDaniel Bak | ||
| 79′ | Malaly Dembele | ||
| 80′ | Malaly DembelePrzemyslaw Banaszak | ||
| 85′ | Karol Linetty | ||
| 90′ | Simon Gustafsson |
Slask Wroclaw
37%
Draw
28%
Korona Kielce
35%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 407 | Accurate passes | 317 |
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
| Probability | Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.7% | 30.4% | 25.9% |
| Market | 34.5% | 27.6% | 37.9% |
| Final | 36.8% | 28.3% | 34.9% |
| Edge | +9.2% | +2.8% | -12.0% |
Why Slask Wroclaw
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.97.
- The market prices Slask Wroclaw below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce expected goals
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Korona Kielce
0.97
Total expected goals: 2.30
Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce attack and defence ratings
Slask Wroclaw
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Korona Kielce
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce: result vs prediction
Slask Wroclaw 1 – 2 Korona Kielce
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin — match page
- Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
- Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan — match page
- Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice — team news & stats
- Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
- Pogon Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków — match page
- Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats
- Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
Before and after this match
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slask Wroclaw | 36.8% | 2.72 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slask Wroclaw | 36.8% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Korona Kielce | 34.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slask Wroclaw win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce stats
Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce recent form
| Slask Wroclaw |
LWDDLD |
| Korona Kielce |
DWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce going into this match
Slask Wroclaw record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Korona Kielce record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Slask Wroclaw wins
5Draws
4Korona Kielce wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Korona Kielce | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Slask Wroclaw | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Slask Wroclaw | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-24 | Korona Kielce | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Slask Wroclaw | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-01 | Korona Kielce | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
| 2020-03-04 | Slask Wroclaw | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2019-09-27 | Korona Kielce | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2019-04-22 | Korona Kielce | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2018-12-16 | Slask Wroclaw | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 27.3%, away 37.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.54 | 3.55 | 2.54 |
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 3.38 | 2.46 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 3.38 | 2.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.44 | 2.54 |
| SBO | 2.56 | 3.19 | 2.46 |
| Unibet | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.70 ▲ +0.15
X
3.38 ▼ -0.22
2
2.46 ▼ -0.09
13 snapshots recorded, from .