Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 7

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow

1 – 1 Full time

4′James Igbekeme
24′Ondrej Lingr
45′James IgbekemeAngel·Rodado
49′Julius Ertlthaler
58′Konrad CiszekKonrad Matuszewski
58′Morgan FaßbenderMichael Ameyaw
62′Julius ErtlthalerMarc Carbo
63′Thody Elie Youanmaciej kuziemka
67′Ondrej LingrNorbert barczak
67′Mariusz StępińskiDaniel Bak
73′Marko BozicRafal Mikulec
78′Kacper DudaVíctor Meseguer
80′Jordi Sánchez
80′Wiktor Długosz
84′Martin RemacleNono
84′Víctor Meseguer
90′Alan Uryga
90′Slobodan Rubezic

Exbud Arena, KielceReferee: Marcin Szczerbowicz, Poland

Korona Kielce 42%
Draw 28%
Wisla Krakow 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 3
39 Possession % 61
5 Corners 6
16 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 4
213 Accurate passes 380

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKorona KielceDrawWisla Krakow
Model43.2%30.3%26.5%
Market42.0%27.4%30.6%
Final42.3%28.1%29.6%
Edge+1.1%+3.0%-4.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Korona Kielce

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Korona Kielce ↓ / Wisla Krakow → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Korona Kielce and Wisla Krakow expected goals

Korona Kielce 1.33
Wisla Krakow 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.32

Korona Kielce and Wisla Krakow attack and defence ratings

Korona Kielce

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Wisla Krakow

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow: result vs prediction

Korona Kielce 1 – 1 Wisla Krakow

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Korona Kielce 42.3% 2.36 +1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.1% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 52.5% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Korona Kielce42.3%
Draw28.1%
Wisla Krakow29.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.9%
Under 2.559.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.5%
No52.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.4%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.7%
Handicap -1Korona Kielce win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss56.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-011.8%
0-011.1%

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow stats

Korona Kielce and Wisla Krakow recent form

newest first
Korona Kielce WWDWDL
Wisla Krakow LWDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Korona Kielce and Wisla Krakow going into this match

league record before kick-off

Korona Kielce record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Wisla Krakow record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Korona Kielce wins 2Draws 3Wisla Krakow wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-07-11Wisla KrakowKorona KielceEkstraklasa1-1
2020-02-23Wisla KrakowKorona KielceEkstraklasa2-0
2019-09-14Korona KielceWisla KrakowEkstraklasa1-1
2019-05-10Wisla KrakowKorona KielceEkstraklasa1-0
2019-03-09Korona KielceWisla KrakowEkstraklasa2-6
2018-09-29Wisla KrakowKorona KielceEkstraklasa0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 27.2%, away 30.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.16 3.60 3.00
1xBet 2.22 3.38 3.06
Bet365 2.20 3.30 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 2.90
Betano 2.25 3.45 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.60 2.90
Dafabet 2.29 3.50 3.05
Marathonbet 2.20 3.38 3.04
Pinnacle 2.29 3.52 3.15
SBO 2.08 3.21 2.80
Superbet 2.27 3.40 3.00
Unibet 2.18 3.45 3.15
William Hill 2.20 3.30 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▲ +0.03
X 3.38 ▼ -0.07
2 3.02 ▼ -0.06

12 snapshots recorded, from .