Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Cracovia Krakow
vs
Gornik Zabrze
0 – 1 Full time
| 51′ | Rafał Janicki | ||
| 53′ | Josema | ||
| 59′ | Mateusz Klich | ||
| 62′ | Yvan Ikia DimiPeter Federico González Carmona | ||
| 62′ | Jarosław KubickiLukáš Sadílek | ||
| 62′ | Janis AntisteSondre Liseth | ||
| 70′ | Lasse Selvåg NordåsMohamed Berte | ||
| 77′ | Michal Sáček | ||
| 78′ | Karol KnapDominik Pila | ||
| 81′ | Kacper Urbanski | ||
| 84′ | Gustav HenrikssonDominik Baumgartner | ||
| 84′ | Mateusz KlichKahveh Zahiroleslam | ||
| 86′ | Maksym KhlanOndrej Zmrzly | ||
| 90′ | Kacper UrbanskiErik Prekop | ||
| 90′ | Maksym Khlan |
Cracovia Krakow
39%
Draw
28%
Gornik Zabrze
33%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 312 | Accurate passes | 253 |
Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze
| Probability | Cracovia Krakow | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 26.9% | 30.8% |
| Market | 38.0% | 27.8% | 34.3% |
| Final | 39.1% | 27.5% | 33.4% |
| Edge | +4.3% | -0.8% | -3.4% |
Why Cracovia Krakow
- The market prices Cracovia Krakow below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze expected goals
Cracovia Krakow
1.57
Gornik Zabrze
1.32
Total expected goals: 2.89
Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze attack and defence ratings
Cracovia Krakow
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Gornik Zabrze
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze: result vs prediction
Cracovia Krakow 0 – 1 Gornik Zabrze
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Piast Gliwice v GKS Katowice — match page
- Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats
- Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow
- Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa — match page
- Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa
- Jagiellonia v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
- Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
Before and after this match
Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cracovia Krakow | 39.1% | 2.56 | +4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cracovia Krakow | 39.1% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Gornik Zabrze | 33.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% |
| No | 40.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cracovia Krakow win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 7.6% |
Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze stats
Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze recent form
| Cracovia Krakow |
DLWWDL |
| Gornik Zabrze |
WLLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze going into this match
Cracovia Krakow record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gornik Zabrze record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Cracovia Krakow wins
1Draws
4Gornik Zabrze wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Gornik Zabrze | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Cracovia Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Gornik Zabrze | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Cracovia Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 3-2 |
| 2024-05-03 | Cracovia Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 5-0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Cracovia Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2023-11-06 | Gornik Zabrze | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-30 | Cracovia Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-18 | Gornik Zabrze | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2022-03-06 | Gornik Zabrze | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.9%, draw 27.4%, away 33.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.32 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.34 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.44 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 3.34 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 3.43 | 2.83 |
| SBO | 2.25 | 3.04 | 2.66 |
| Superbet | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.44 ▼ -0.01
X
3.34 ▲ +0.10
2
2.71 ▼ -0.10
14 snapshots recorded, from .