Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Motor Lublin
vs
Legia Warszawa
2 – 3 Full time
| 13′ | Bartosz Kapustka | ||
| 45′ | Rafał Augustyniak | ||
| 61′ | Paskal Konrad MeyerYacine Bourhane | ||
| 65′ | Karol Czubak | ||
| 65′ | Wojciech UrbanskiHenrique Arreiol | ||
| 66′ | Michal SevcikRafal Adamski | ||
| 68′ | Karol Czubak | ||
| 71′ | Fabio Ronaldo Costa ConceicaoMakan Aiko | ||
| 71′ | Mateusz SzczepaniakJakub Zewlakow | ||
| 71′ | Jan KuchtaLukasz Zjawinski | ||
| 78′ | Mateusz Legowski | ||
| 80′ | Zoran ArsenićArkadiusz Reca | ||
| 90′ | Bartosz BereszyńskiMarek Kristian Bartos | ||
| 90′ | Mateusz LegowskiChristopher Simon | ||
| 90′ | Kamil LukoszekThomas Santos | ||
| 90′ | Jakub Zewlakow | ||
| 90′ | Jakub Zewlakow | ||
| 90′ | Jakub Zewlakow | ||
| 90′ | Rafal Adamski |
Motor Lublin
28%
Draw
27%
Legia Warszawa
45%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 339 | Accurate passes | 391 |
Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa
| Probability | Motor Lublin | Draw | Legia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 28.2% | 41.0% |
| Market | 26.5% | 26.5% | 46.9% |
| Final | 27.6% | 27.0% | 45.4% |
| Edge | +4.3% | +1.6% | -5.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa expected goals
Motor Lublin
1.23
Legia Warszawa
1.45
Total expected goals: 2.68
Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa attack and defence ratings
Motor Lublin
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Legia Warszawa
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa: result vs prediction
Motor Lublin 2 – 3 Legia Warszawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Piast Gliwice v GKS Katowice — match page
- Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats
- Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze — team news & stats
- Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa
- Jagiellonia v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
- Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
Before and after this match
Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Legia Warszawa | 45.4% | 2.20 | -5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motor Lublin | 27.6% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Legia Warszawa | 45.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Legia Warszawa win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.7% |
Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa stats
Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa recent form
| Motor Lublin |
WLDWLL |
| Legia Warszawa |
LDDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa going into this match
Motor Lublin record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Legia Warszawa record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
2Motor Lublin wins
2Draws
4Legia Warszawa wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Motor Lublin | Legia Warszawa | Poland Cup | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Legia Warszawa | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Motor Lublin | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-10 | Motor Lublin | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 3-3 |
| 2024-09-01 | Legia Warszawa | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa | 5-2 |
| 2022-12-10 | Legia Warszawa | Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
| 2022-07-01 | Legia Warszawa | Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2021-12-01 | Motor Lublin | Legia Warszawa | Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.3%, draw 25.9%, away 47.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.65 | 3.70 | 1.90 |
| 1xBet | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.63 | 3.66 | 2.04 |
| SBO | 3.24 | 3.13 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 3.65 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 3.55 | 3.65 | 1.96 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.50 ▲ +0.11
X
3.50 ▼ -0.18
2
1.98 ▲ +0.02
13 snapshots recorded, from .