Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 7

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw

2 – 1 Full time

19′K. Szmyt
41′O. Sow
46′G. TomasiewiczK. Linetty
46′P. BanaszakL. Marjanac
51′O. SowR. Conceicao
60′P. M. DembeleIeltsin Camoes
65′Alex Timossi Andersson
70′E. ShabaniJ. Yriarte
71′C. PolakB. Wdowik
71′S. LozanoJ. Imaz
81′P. Samiec-Talar
85′Guilherme Montóia
87′P. Samiec-TalarA. Zulewski
90′N. PrelecA. Konstantopoulos
90′A. KlyngeE. Kozlowski

Chorten Arena, BialystokReferee: Pawel Malec, Poland

Jagiellonia 55%
Draw 23%
Slask Wroclaw 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
49 Possession % 51
4 Corners 7
10 Fouls 6
4 Offsides 0
4 Saves 0
385 Accurate passes 404

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJagielloniaDrawSlask Wroclaw
Model54.2%23.4%22.5%
Market55.9%23.0%21.2%
Final55.4%23.1%21.5%
Edge-1.7%+0.4%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Jagiellonia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.26.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jagiellonia ↓ / Slask Wroclaw → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 7% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Jagiellonia and Slask Wroclaw expected goals

Jagiellonia 2.03
Slask Wroclaw 1.26

Total expected goals: 3.28

Jagiellonia and Slask Wroclaw attack and defence ratings

Jagiellonia

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Slask Wroclaw

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw: result vs prediction

Jagiellonia 2 – 1 Slask Wroclaw

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jagiellonia 55.4% 1.80 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.8% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jagiellonia55.4%
Draw23.1%
Slask Wroclaw21.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.6%
Under 2.536.4%
Both teams to scoreYes63.0%
No37.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.5%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)44.6%
Handicap -1Jagiellonia win32.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss45.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw stats

Jagiellonia and Slask Wroclaw recent form

newest first
Jagiellonia LWWWDL
Slask Wroclaw WDDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jagiellonia and Slask Wroclaw going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jagiellonia record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slask Wroclaw record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Jagiellonia wins 6Draws 2Slask Wroclaw wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-16Slask WroclawJagielloniaEkstraklasa1-1
2024-11-22JagielloniaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa2-2
2024-03-08JagielloniaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa3-1
2023-09-26JagielloniaSlask WroclawCup2-0
2023-09-03Slask WroclawJagielloniaEkstraklasa2-1
2023-05-05JagielloniaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa1-1
2022-10-23Slask WroclawJagielloniaEkstraklasa2-2
2022-04-30JagielloniaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa1-1
2021-11-05Slask WroclawJagielloniaEkstraklasa2-2
2021-04-05JagielloniaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 23.0%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.71 3.95 4.30
1xBet 1.66 4.05 4.46
Bet365 1.67 4.10 4.10
BetVictor 1.65 3.90 4.33
Betano 1.70 4.05 4.25
Betfair 1.70 4.00 4.40
Dafabet 1.71 4.20 4.40
Marathonbet 1.64 4.05 4.50
Pinnacle 1.68 4.34 4.59
SBO 1.63 3.62 3.83
Superbet 1.70 4.10 4.20
Unibet 1.70 3.90 4.50
William Hill 1.67 3.90 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▼ -0.11
X 4.05 ▲ +0.27
2 4.39 ▲ +0.32

8 snapshots recorded, from .