Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 7

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin

1 – 1 Full time

39′M. GrzybekJ. Corluka
46′M. MlinaricJ. Sypek
46′S. KerkM. Kosidis
60′Damian Michalski
64′C. LungoyiMiki Villar
70′D. MichalskiD. Colina
71′A. MilicD. Dujmovic
71′E. KoulourisP. Pusic
80′Mikkel Maigaard
85′L. PiazonB. Bialek
85′L. SemedoJ. de la Rosa
86′J. KolanD. Dabrowski
87′A. Lawniczak
90′David Čolina
90′D. Dujmovic

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka ReymanaReferee: Albert Rozycki, Poland

Wieczysta Kraków 48%
Draw 26%
Zaglebie Lubin 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
67 Possession % 33
10 Corners 3
13 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 2
2 Saves 6
557 Accurate passes 145

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWieczysta KrakówDrawZaglebie Lubin
Model48.3%26.6%25.0%
Market47.3%26.2%26.6%
Final47.5%26.3%26.2%
Edge+1.1%+0.5%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Wieczysta Kraków

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.14.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wieczysta Krak ↓ / Zaglebie Lubin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin expected goals

Wieczysta Kraków 1.66
Zaglebie Lubin 1.14

Total expected goals: 2.80

Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin attack and defence ratings

Wieczysta Kraków

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Zaglebie Lubin

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin: result vs prediction

Wieczysta Kraków 1 – 1 Zaglebie Lubin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wieczysta Kraków 47.5% 2.10 +1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.1% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wieczysta Kraków47.5%
Draw26.3%
Zaglebie Lubin26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.1%
Under 2.546.9%
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%
No43.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)52.5%
Handicap -1Wieczysta Kraków win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
2-19.6%
1-08.9%

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin stats

Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wieczysta Kraków record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zaglebie Lubin record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 26.3%, away 26.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.65 3.70
1xBet 1.96 3.55 3.54
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.30
BetVictor 1.95 3.50 3.40
Betano 2.05 3.50 3.40
Betfair 1.90 3.70 3.70
Dafabet 2.05 3.55 3.55
Marathonbet 1.94 3.55 3.54
Pinnacle 2.01 3.74 3.63
SBO 2.00 3.07 3.09
Unibet 1.95 3.50 3.70
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.06
X 3.52 ▼ -0.10
2 3.47 ▼ -0.28

13 snapshots recorded, from .