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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków

3 – 1 Full time

14′M. Zuber
27′P. Uliczny
40′E. Koulouris
57′P. UlicznyB. Falbierski
57′G. AftykaK. Jodlowski
60′D. Dujmovic
62′K. DankowskiK. Fila
62′P. PusicC. Lungoyi
64′A. Remenyuk
70′K. Fila
71′B. LedermanMiki Villar
71′M. VojtkoK. Pestka
77′D. ZbozienM. Kumorek
77′E. KoulourisB. Bialek
78′M. ZuberD. Lacki
83′D. AssuncaoD. Niepsuj
85′B. Falbierski
90′D. Lacki
Avia Świdnik 27%
Draw 23%
Wieczysta Kraków 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAvia ŚwidnikDrawWieczysta Kraków
Model47.2%21.8%31.0%
Market20.0%23.6%56.4%
Final26.8%23.2%50.0%
Edge+27.2%-1.8%-25.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Avia Świdnik ↓ / Wieczysta Krak → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Avia Świdnik and Wieczysta Kraków expected goals

Avia Świdnik 2.21
Wieczysta Kraków 1.78

Total expected goals: 3.99

Avia Świdnik and Wieczysta Kraków attack and defence ratings

Avia Świdnik

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Wieczysta Kraków

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków: result vs prediction

Avia Świdnik 3 – 1 Wieczysta Kraków

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wieczysta Kraków 50.0% 2.00 -25.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.0% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.8% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.0% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Avia Świdnik26.8%
Draw23.2%
Wieczysta Kraków50.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.0%
Under 2.524.0%
Both teams to scoreYes74.8%
No25.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.0%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)73.2%
Handicap -1Wieczysta Kraków win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)15.0%
Loss69.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.0%
1-18.0%
2-27.2%

Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków stats

Avia Świdnik and Wieczysta Kraków recent form

newest first
Avia Świdnik LWWW
Wieczysta Kraków LLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Avia Świdnik wins 1Draws 1Wieczysta Kraków wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-03-23Wieczysta KrakówAvia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 42-0
2023-08-27Avia ŚwidnikWieczysta KrakówIII Liga - Group 43-1
2023-05-27Avia ŚwidnikWieczysta KrakówIII Liga - Group 42-1
2022-10-29Wieczysta KrakówAvia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 41-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Avia Świdnik vs Wieczysta Kraków odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.0%, draw 23.6%, away 56.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.33 3.85 1.60
1xBet 4.92 3.82 1.57
Bet365 4.33 3.80 1.62
BetVictor 4.75 3.90 1.60
Betano 4.35 3.80 1.62
Betfair 4.75 4.00 1.55
Dafabet 4.70 4.10 1.64
Marathonbet 4.85 3.82 1.55
Pinnacle 4.26 3.73 1.60
SBO 4.11 3.50 1.54
Superbet 4.90 3.90 1.58
Unibet 4.20 3.90 1.61
William Hill 4.50 3.80 1.60

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.