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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom

0 – 1 Full time

20′J. NojszewskiP. Rogala
28′J. Grzesik
31′R. Lumungo
39′I. Chmielewski
46′C. NunnelyManu
54′Manu
55′M. PodwysockiD. Wyrozumski
55′B. KarlinskiM. Rij
60′F. GoureGuilherme Luiz
60′Zie OuattaraConrado
66′Guilherme Luiz
67′K. MorawiecM. Mianowany
67′K. TobolaB. Moleda
70′I. Camara
71′R. BaroK. Karasek
86′LuquinhasC. Donis
88′C. Donis
88′D. Wyrozumski
88′M. Mianowany

Stadion Pilkarski MOSiR, Kielce

Korona Kielce II 19%
Draw 18%
Radomiak Radom 63%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKorona Kielce IIDrawRadomiak Radom
Model48.4%27.0%24.6%
Market9.0%14.5%76.4%
Final18.9%17.7%63.5%
Edge+39.4%+12.4%-51.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Radomiak Radom

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Korona Kielce ↓ / Radomiak Radom → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Korona Kielce II and Radomiak Radom expected goals

Korona Kielce II 1.63
Radomiak Radom 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.73

Korona Kielce II and Radomiak Radom attack and defence ratings

Korona Kielce II

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Radomiak Radom

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom: result vs prediction

Korona Kielce II 0 – 1 Radomiak Radom

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Radomiak Radom 63.5% 1.58 -51.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 82.3% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 75.4% 1.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Korona Kielce II18.9%
Draw17.7%
Radomiak Radom63.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%
Both teams to scoreYes54.9%
No45.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)36.5%
12 (either side)82.3%
X2 (draw or away)81.1%
Handicap -1Radomiak Radom win9.9%
Push (exactly one goal)14.7%
Loss75.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-19.5%
1-09.4%

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom stats

Korona Kielce II and Radomiak Radom recent form

newest first
Korona Kielce II L
Radomiak Radom WDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.0%, draw 14.5%, away 76.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 10.80 5.40 1.18
1xBet 10.70 6.20 1.18
Bet365 10.00 5.75 1.22
BetVictor 11.00 6.50 1.18
Betano 8.75 5.70 1.22
Betfair 10.50 6.50 1.15
Dafabet 10.00 6.80 1.21
Marathonbet 10.25 6.20 1.17
Pinnacle 8.02 6.24 1.18
SBO 7.53 5.42 1.17
Superbet 7.70 6.10 1.24
Unibet 8.50 6.50 1.19
William Hill 10.00 5.80 1.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.