Garuda Lions
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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie

3 – 0 Full time

55′K. Masiak
57′V. Krasovskiy
58′O. MadejS. Goss
58′S. SalamonM. Musik
58′M. ListkowskiM. Kaczor
63′M. Thiede
64′K. MasiakS. Pukala
64′F. WolskiK. Kukulka
64′K. TwardoszM. Sitek
65′W. Brzek
70′D. TakacM. Urynowicz
70′A. IwanczykO. Sewerzynski
72′S. Pukala
74′S. Pukala
75′K. Kukulka
75′T. HirosawaD. Pietraszkiewicz
81′S. Pukala

Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, Rzeszow

Stal Rzeszów 35%
Draw 26%
Podbeskidzie 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStal RzeszówDrawPodbeskidzie
Model22.6%25.8%51.6%
Market38.6%26.4%35.0%
Final34.6%26.3%39.1%
Edge-15.9%-0.6%+16.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Podbeskidzie

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.09.
  • The market prices Podbeskidzie below the model: +16.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stal Rzeszów ↓ / Podbeskidzie → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Stal Rzeszów and Podbeskidzie expected goals

Stal Rzeszów 1.09
Podbeskidzie 1.75

Total expected goals: 2.84

Stal Rzeszów and Podbeskidzie attack and defence ratings

Stal Rzeszów

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Podbeskidzie

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie: result vs prediction

Stal Rzeszów 3 – 0 Podbeskidzie

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Podbeskidzie 39.1% 2.56 +16.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.5% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stal Rzeszów34.6%
Draw26.3%
Podbeskidzie39.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%
No43.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.9%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)65.4%
Handicap -1Podbeskidzie win29.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss48.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
1-29.7%
0-19.0%

Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie stats

Stal Rzeszów and Podbeskidzie recent form

newest first
Stal Rzeszów WLDDLL
Podbeskidzie LDDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Stal Rzeszów wins 2Draws 1Podbeskidzie wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-19Stal RzeszówPodbeskidzieI Liga2-2
2023-10-07PodbeskidzieStal RzeszówI Liga0-1
2023-04-02PodbeskidzieStal RzeszówI Liga2-2
2022-08-27Stal RzeszówPodbeskidzieI Liga5-0
2020-08-15Stal RzeszówPodbeskidzieCup0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 26.4%, away 35.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.30 3.45 2.55
1xBet 2.33 3.40 2.57
Bet365 2.30 3.50 2.55
BetVictor 2.30 3.60 2.63
Betano 2.32 3.40 2.60
Betfair 2.50 3.60 2.38
Dafabet 2.40 3.55 2.70
Marathonbet 2.33 3.40 2.57
Pinnacle 2.37 3.44 2.64
SBO 2.21 3.15 2.44
Superbet 2.87 3.35 2.27
Unibet 2.55 3.40 2.30
William Hill 2.40 3.20 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▼ -0.37
X 3.40 —
2 2.57 ▲ +0.27

2 snapshots recorded, from .