Puszcza Niepołomice
vs
Podbeskidzie
2 – 0 Full time
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie
| Probability | Puszcza Niepołomice | Draw | Podbeskidzie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.6% | 30.7% | 39.7% |
| Market | 35.8% | 28.3% | 35.8% |
| Final | 34.3% | 28.9% | 36.8% |
| Edge | -6.2% | +2.4% | +3.8% |
Why Podbeskidzie
- The market prices Podbeskidzie below the model: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Puszcza Niepołomice and Podbeskidzie expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Puszcza Niepołomice and Podbeskidzie attack and defence ratings
Puszcza Niepołomice
Podbeskidzie
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie: result vs prediction
Puszcza Niepołomice 2 – 0 Podbeskidzie
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
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- Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
- Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk
- Miedz Legnica v Warta Poznań — match page
- Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats
- Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów
Before and after this match
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbeskidzie | 36.8% | 2.72 | +3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 34.3% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Podbeskidzie | 36.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Podbeskidzie win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 0-1 | 11.1% |
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie stats
Puszcza Niepołomice and Podbeskidzie recent form
| Puszcza Niepołomice |
LLWLLL |
| Podbeskidzie |
DDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice and Podbeskidzie going into this match
Puszcza Niepołomice record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Podbeskidzie record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Podbeskidzie | Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2023-07-07 | Podbeskidzie | Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Podbeskidzie | I Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-20 | Podbeskidzie | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-13 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Podbeskidzie | I Liga | 4-2 |
| 2021-08-29 | Podbeskidzie | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga | 4-0 |
| 2020-06-16 | Podbeskidzie | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga | 2-2 |
| 2019-09-14 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Podbeskidzie | I Liga | 0-1 |
| 2019-04-03 | Podbeskidzie | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga | 3-1 |
| 2018-09-01 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Podbeskidzie | I Liga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 28.3%, away 35.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.12 | 2.53 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.15 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.12 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.25 | 2.64 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 2.95 | 2.40 |
| Superbet | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .