Chrobry Głogów
vs
Ruch Chorzów
2 – 0 Full time
Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów
| Probability | Chrobry Głogów | Draw | Ruch Chorzów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.6% | 31.4% | 32.0% |
| Market | 30.4% | 28.1% | 41.5% |
| Final | 32.0% | 29.0% | 39.1% |
| Edge | +6.2% | +3.3% | -9.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chrobry Głogów and Ruch Chorzów expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Chrobry Głogów and Ruch Chorzów attack and defence ratings
Chrobry Głogów
Ruch Chorzów
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów: result vs prediction
Chrobry Głogów 2 – 0 Ruch Chorzów
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ruch Chorzów | 39.1% | 2.56 | -9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chrobry Głogów | 32.0% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Ruch Chorzów | 39.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.7% |
| No | 53.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ruch Chorzów win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 68.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-0 | 11.1% |
Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów stats
Chrobry Głogów and Ruch Chorzów recent form
| Chrobry Głogów |
LDWLWL |
| Ruch Chorzów |
WWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chrobry Głogów and Ruch Chorzów going into this match
Chrobry Głogów record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ruch Chorzów record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Chrobry Głogów | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Ruch Chorzów | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.4%, draw 28.1%, away 41.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.18 | 2.18 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.24 |
| Marathonbet | 3.00 | 3.18 | 2.16 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 3.35 | 2.23 |
| SBO | 2.83 | 3.02 | 2.06 |
| Unibet | 2.63 | 3.15 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .