I Liga Football Predictions
Fixtures, model probabilities and a results-derived table for I Liga — 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 221 goals in 81 matches (2.73 per game).
81matches · 2026/27 season
221goals
2.73avg goals / match
60fixtures in window
19with a model pick
updated
Next I Liga fixtures
12.42
X3.70
23.17
Full prediction →
12.36
X3.64
23.31
Full prediction →
12.73
X3.88
22.67
Full prediction →
12.98
X3.84
22.48
Full prediction → Value picks in I Liga
2
Pick: Warta Poznań
Low
- Model
- 53%
- Market
- 40%
- Edge
- +12.6%
- Best odds
- 2.34
2
Pick: Nieciecza
Low
- Model
- 47%
- Market
- 38%
- Edge
- +9.4%
- Best odds
- 2.52
1
Pick: Puszcza Niepołomice
Low
- Model
- 42%
- Market
- 37%
- Edge
- +4.7%
- Best odds
- 2.50
An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.
Upcoming I Liga fixtures
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arka Gdyniav Polonia Warszawa
|
1 | Low | 2.42 | 3.70 | 3.17 | → | |
 Chrobry Głogówv Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
|
1 | Low | 2.36 | 3.64 | 3.31 | → | |
 Unia Skierniewicev Nieciecza
|
2 | Low | 2.73 | 3.88 | 2.67 | → | |
 Stal Mielecv Warta Poznań
|
2 | Low | 2.98 | 3.84 | 2.48 | → | |
 ŁKS Łódźv Ruch Chorzów
|
1 | Low | 2.61 | 3.65 | 2.91 | → | |
 Puszcza Niepołomicev Polonia Bytom
|
1 | Low | 2.70 | 3.71 | 2.78 | → | |
 Odra Opolev Miedz Legnica
|
1 | Low | 2.62 | 3.63 | 2.91 | → | |
 Stal Rzeszówv Lechia Gdansk
|
2 | Low | 3.17 | 3.96 | 2.31 | → | |
 Pogoń SiedlcevPuszcza Niepołomice
|
1 | Low | 3.06 | 3.40 | 2.63 | → | |
| Warta PoznańvUnia Skierniewice
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | → | |
| Ruch ChorzówvOdra Opole
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | → | |
| Miedz LegnicavStal Mielec
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| Polonia BytomvChrobry Głogów
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivPolonia Warszawa
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
ŁKS Łódźv Podbeskidzie
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| Pogoń SiedlcevStal Rzeszów
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| Lechia GdanskvArka Gdynia
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| NiecieczavPuszcza Niepołomice
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| Polonia WarszawavMiedz Legnica
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| Arka GdyniavNieciecza
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Stal MielecvChrobry Głogów
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Unia SkierniewicevPolonia Bytom
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Puszcza NiepołomicevLechia Gdansk
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Odra OpolevPogoń Siedlce
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Ruch ChorzówvPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| PodbeskidzievStal Rzeszów
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Warta PoznańvŁKS Łódź
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivStal Mielec
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Miedz LegnicavNieciecza
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Lechia GdanskvUnia Skierniewice
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| PodbeskidzievWarta Poznań
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Polonia BytomvOdra Opole
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ŁKS ŁódźvPolonia Warszawa
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Stal RzeszówvPuszcza Niepołomice
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Chrobry GłogówvArka Gdynia
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Ruch ChorzówvPogoń Siedlce
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Arka GdyniavPodbeskidzie
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NiecieczavChrobry Głogów
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Odra OpolevUnia Skierniewice
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Puszcza NiepołomicevMiedz Legnica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Stal MielecvRuch Chorzów
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Warta PoznańvPolonia Warszawa
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ŁKS ŁódźvStal Rzeszów
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Pogoń SiedlcevPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Polonia BytomvLechia Gdansk
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Miedz LegnicavŁKS Łódź
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Lechia GdanskvOdra Opole
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Chrobry GłogówvPuszcza Niepołomice
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| PodbeskidzievNieciecza
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Ruch ChorzówvWarta Poznań
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Stal RzeszówvPolonia Bytom
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Unia SkierniewicevPogoń Siedlce
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivArka Gdynia
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Polonia WarszawavStal Mielec
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Miedz LegnicavPolonia Bytom
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Arka GdyniavRuch Chorzów
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Chrobry GłogówvUnia Skierniewice
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NiecieczavStal Rzeszów
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Odra OpolevPolonia Warszawa
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| PodbeskidzievPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
|
— | — | — | — | — |
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I Liga goals per match
Mean goals in the matches played each week of the season.
I Liga form table
| Team | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
18 | WLWDD |
| Nieciecza |
16 | WWWDL |
| Warta Poznań |
15 | WWLLW |
| ŁKS Łódź |
15 | LWDDW |
| Miedz Legnica |
14 | LLDWW |
Ranked by points, then goal difference — computed from played results, not an imported table.
Trending I Liga markets
Over 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS
56%
Home wins
43%
Draws
28%
Away wins
28%
Most common scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%)
How the markets actually landed over 81 played matches, 2026/27 season — realised frequencies, not a forecast.
I Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 18 | WLWDD |
| 2 | Nieciecza |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Warta Poznań |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 15 | WWLLW |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 15 | LWDDW |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 14 | WDLLW |
| 7 | Stal Rzeszów |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 9 | Chrobry Głogów |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzów |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 | DDWLW |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie |
10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | WDDDL |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 15 | Odra Opole |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom |
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 | DDDDD |
| 17 | Stal Mielec |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | LLWLL |
I Liga recent results
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PodbeskidzievPogoń Siedlce
|
1–0 | 1✓ | Low | → | |
| PodbeskidzievUnia Skierniewice
|
1–1 | 1✗ | Low | → | |
| Pogoń SiedlcevArka Gdynia
|
2–1 | 2✗ | Low | → | |
| Miedz LegnicavStal Rzeszów
|
2–3 | 1✗ | Low | → | |
| Polonia WarszawavChrobry Głogów
|
2–0 | 1✓ | Low | → | |
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivŁKS Łódź
|
2–0 | 2✗ | Low | → |