Unia Skierniewice
vs
Stal Rzeszów
0 – 1 Full time
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów
| Probability | Unia Skierniewice | Draw | Stal Rzeszów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.8% | 23.9% | 19.3% |
| Market | 49.0% | 24.6% | 26.4% |
| Final | 51.0% | 24.4% | 24.6% |
| Edge | +7.8% | -0.7% | -7.1% |
Why Unia Skierniewice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Unia Skierniewice below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Unia Skierniewice and Stal Rzeszów expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Unia Skierniewice and Stal Rzeszów attack and defence ratings
Unia Skierniewice
Stal Rzeszów
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów: result vs prediction
Unia Skierniewice 0 – 1 Stal Rzeszów
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza — team news & stats
- Odra Opole vs ŁKS Łódź
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Podbeskidzie — match page
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
- Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk
- Miedz Legnica v Warta Poznań — match page
- Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats
- Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów
Before and after this match
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Unia Skierniewice | 51.0% | 1.96 | +7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Unia Skierniewice | 51.0% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Stal Rzeszów | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Unia Skierniewice win | 34.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów stats
Unia Skierniewice and Stal Rzeszów recent form
| Unia Skierniewice |
WLWDLL |
| Stal Rzeszów |
LDDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Unia Skierniewice and Stal Rzeszów going into this match
Unia Skierniewice record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stal Rzeszów record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 24.6%, away 26.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.72 | 3.48 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.72 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.52 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 3.30 | 2.99 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 1.93 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .