Stal Rzeszów
vs
Ruch Chorzów
0 – 1 Full time
Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów
| Probability | Stal Rzeszów | Draw | Ruch Chorzów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.2% | 24.6% | 54.2% |
| Market | 24.4% | 24.7% | 50.9% |
| Final | 23.6% | 24.7% | 51.7% |
| Edge | -3.2% | -0.1% | +3.3% |
Why Ruch Chorzów
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ruch Chorzów below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów attack and defence ratings
Stal Rzeszów
Ruch Chorzów
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów: result vs prediction
Stal Rzeszów 0 – 1 Ruch Chorzów
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Chrobry Głogów v Warta Poznań — match page
- Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats
- Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa
- Podbeskidzie v Odra Opole — match page
- Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats
- Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Unia Skierniewice — match page
- ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ruch Chorzów | 51.7% | 1.94 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stal Rzeszów | 23.6% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Ruch Chorzów | 51.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ruch Chorzów win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 8.9% |
Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów stats
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów recent form
| Stal Rzeszów |
DDLLDL |
| Ruch Chorzów |
WDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów going into this match
Stal Rzeszów record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ruch Chorzów record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Stal Rzeszów | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-20 | Ruch Chorzów | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Ruch Chorzów | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-21 | Stal Rzeszów | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-08 | Ruch Chorzów | Stal Rzeszów | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-26 | Ruch Chorzów | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-08 | Stal Rzeszów | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 2-3 |
| 2022-04-16 | Stal Rzeszów | Ruch Chorzów | II Liga - East | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-03 | Ruch Chorzów | Stal Rzeszów | II Liga - East | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.4%, draw 24.8%, away 50.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.77 |
| 1xBet | 3.76 | 3.68 | 1.78 |
| 888Sport | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.82 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.80 | 1.84 |
| Marathonbet | 3.70 | 3.68 | 1.76 |
| Pinnacle | 3.90 | 3.94 | 1.84 |
| SBO | 3.47 | 3.40 | 1.84 |
| Superbet | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.83 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .