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I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec

4 – 0 Full time

Referee: M. Jenda

ŁKS Łódź 46%
Draw 25%
Stal Mielec 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityŁKS ŁódźDrawStal Mielec
Model37.8%23.4%38.7%
Market48.9%25.7%25.4%
Final46.1%25.2%28.7%
Edge-11.1%-2.3%+13.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ŁKS Łódź ↓ / Stal Mielec → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

ŁKS Łódź and Stal Mielec expected goals

ŁKS Łódź 1.82
Stal Mielec 1.85

Total expected goals: 3.67

ŁKS Łódź and Stal Mielec attack and defence ratings

ŁKS Łódź

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Stal Mielec

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec: result vs prediction

ŁKS Łódź 4 – 0 Stal Mielec

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ŁKS Łódź 46.1% 2.17 -11.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.4% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ŁKS Łódź46.1%
Draw25.2%
Stal Mielec28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes71.4%
No28.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)53.9%
Handicap -1ŁKS Łódź win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.5%
1-27.9%
2-17.8%

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec stats

ŁKS Łódź and Stal Mielec recent form

newest first
ŁKS Łódź WLWDDW
Stal Mielec WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ŁKS Łódź and Stal Mielec going into this match

league record before kick-off

ŁKS Łódź record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Stal Mielec record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2ŁKS Łódź wins 0Draws 0Stal Mielec wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-23Stal MielecŁKS ŁódźI Liga1-2
2025-08-15ŁKS ŁódźStal MielecI Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 25.5%, away 25.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.70 3.62
888Sport 1.75 3.80 3.50
Bet365 1.85 3.40 3.60
BetVictor 1.87 3.50 3.60
Betano 1.87 3.65 3.65
Betfair 1.80 3.60 3.60
Dafabet 1.90 3.60 3.75
Marathonbet 1.79 3.70 3.56
Pinnacle 1.92 3.94 3.60
SBO 1.91 3.25 3.37
Superbet 1.95 3.50 3.60
Unibet 1.75 3.50 3.80
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.87 ▲ +0.12
X 3.55 ▼ -0.25
2 3.60 ▼ -0.15

4 snapshots recorded, from .