Miedz Legnica
vs
Arka Gdynia
2 – 0 Full time
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
| Probability | Miedz Legnica | Draw | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.0% | 30.2% | 24.9% |
| Market | 41.0% | 26.9% | 32.1% |
| Final | 42.0% | 27.7% | 30.3% |
| Edge | +4.0% | +3.2% | -7.2% |
Why Miedz Legnica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.95.
- The market prices Miedz Legnica below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Miedz Legnica and Arka Gdynia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Miedz Legnica and Arka Gdynia attack and defence ratings
Miedz Legnica
Arka Gdynia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia: result vs prediction
Miedz Legnica 2 – 0 Arka Gdynia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Chrobry Głogów v Warta Poznań — match page
- Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats
- Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa
- Podbeskidzie v Odra Opole — match page
- Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Unia Skierniewice — match page
- ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
- Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów
Before and after this match
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Miedz Legnica | 42.0% | 2.38 | +4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Miedz Legnica | 42.0% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Arka Gdynia | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.7% |
| No | 53.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Miedz Legnica win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 55.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia stats
Miedz Legnica and Arka Gdynia recent form
| Miedz Legnica |
WLWDWL |
| Arka Gdynia |
WLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Miedz Legnica and Arka Gdynia going into this match
Miedz Legnica record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Arka Gdynia record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 26.9%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.30 | 2.89 |
| 888Sport | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.52 | 3.01 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.25 | 2.71 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.87 |
| Unibet | 2.33 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .