Arka Gdynia
vs
Polonia Bytom
1 – 1 Full time
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom
| Probability | Arka Gdynia | Draw | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 22.7% | 32.7% |
| Market | 49.7% | 25.6% | 24.6% |
| Final | 48.5% | 24.9% | 26.6% |
| Edge | -5.2% | -3.0% | +8.1% |
Why Arka Gdynia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.75.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Bytom expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.81
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Bytom attack and defence ratings
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Bytom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom: result vs prediction
Arka Gdynia 1 – 1 Polonia Bytom
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Unia Skierniewice v Stal Rzeszów — match page
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza — team news & stats
- Odra Opole vs ŁKS Łódź
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Podbeskidzie — match page
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
- Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk
- Miedz Legnica v Warta Poznań — match page
- Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów
Before and after this match
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arka Gdynia | 48.5% | 2.06 | -5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arka Gdynia | 48.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Polonia Bytom | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% |
| No | 27.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arka Gdynia win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom stats
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Bytom recent form
| Arka Gdynia |
LWLWWL |
| Polonia Bytom |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Bytom going into this match
Arka Gdynia record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Polonia Bytom record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 25.6%, away 24.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.58 | 3.96 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.58 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.82 | 4.07 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 3.12 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 1.83 | 3.45 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .