Garuda Lions
Today
Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia

0 – 4 Full time

3′E. Rama
46′S. MidaB. Zimnicki
47′J. Kowalski
51′M. Dantoni
54′E. Rama
55′K. CiechanowiczM. Szwoch
55′J. OrtizM. Zymelka
60′S. Lewkot
61′J. KowalskiP. Krefft
61′D. KunM. Rzuchowski
61′N. DziegielewskiM. Milewski
67′J. StaniszewskiM. Lesniak
67′G. JarochG. Czapniewski
70′B. PawlowskiF. Walus
70′E. RamaK. Solecki
80′E. Demirovic
89′M. Geniec

Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, Rzeszow

Resovia Rzeszów 26%
Draw 26%
Arka Gdynia 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityResovia RzeszówDrawArka Gdynia
Model39.1%29.6%31.4%
Market21.9%24.3%53.8%
Final26.2%25.6%48.2%
Edge+17.1%+5.3%-22.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Arka Gdynia

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Resovia Rzeszó ↓ / Arka Gdynia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Resovia Rzeszów and Arka Gdynia expected goals

Resovia Rzeszów 1.30
Arka Gdynia 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.48

Resovia Rzeszów and Arka Gdynia attack and defence ratings

Resovia Rzeszów

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Arka Gdynia

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia: result vs prediction

Resovia Rzeszów 0 – 4 Arka Gdynia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arka Gdynia 48.2% 2.08 -22.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.6% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.9% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Resovia Rzeszów26.2%
Draw25.6%
Arka Gdynia48.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.6%
No48.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.8%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)73.8%
Handicap -1Arka Gdynia win13.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss67.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-09.8%
0-09.7%

Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia stats

Resovia Rzeszów and Arka Gdynia recent form

newest first
Resovia Rzeszów WL
Arka Gdynia DLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Resovia Rzeszów wins 0Draws 7Arka Gdynia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-28Arka GdyniaResovia RzeszówI Liga3-2
2023-10-29Resovia RzeszówArka GdyniaI Liga1-2
2023-03-03Arka GdyniaResovia RzeszówI Liga4-0
2022-08-10Resovia RzeszówArka GdyniaI Liga1-3
2022-05-01Resovia RzeszówArka GdyniaI Liga4-1
2021-10-23Arka GdyniaResovia RzeszówI Liga2-0
2021-05-14Arka GdyniaResovia RzeszówI Liga1-0
2020-11-21Resovia RzeszówArka GdyniaI Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.9%, draw 24.3%, away 53.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 4.10 3.70 1.67

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.