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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice

0 – 3 Full time

1′A. Karbowski
22′E. Fikaj
60′A. WierzbickiK. Kaminski
63′J. LabojkoQ. Boisgard
63′S. MuchaI. Lima
65′A. LotoszynskiO. Zareba
67′M. Kucharski
74′M. KucharskiL. Sanca
74′O. MaziarzJ. Lewicki
75′H. Jaskula
77′J. Felix
81′H. JaskulaD. Kulig
81′D. ZagorskiW. Bednarek
81′P. PerlinskiO. Trojanowski
81′J. FelixH. Vallejo

Stadion im. Czeslawa Kobusa, Bydgoszcz

Chemik Bydgoszcz 16%
Draw 16%
Piast Gliwice 68%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChemik BydgoszczDrawPiast Gliwice
Model43.7%24.9%31.4%
Market7.0%12.9%80.1%
Final16.1%15.9%67.9%
Edge+36.7%+12.0%-48.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chemik Bydgosz ↓ / Piast Gliwice → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Chemik Bydgoszcz and Piast Gliwice expected goals

Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.79
Piast Gliwice 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.27

Chemik Bydgoszcz and Piast Gliwice attack and defence ratings

Chemik Bydgoszcz

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Piast Gliwice

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice: result vs prediction

Chemik Bydgoszcz 0 – 3 Piast Gliwice

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Piast Gliwice 67.9% 1.47 -48.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.5% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 84.1% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.8% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chemik Bydgoszcz16.1%
Draw15.9%
Piast Gliwice67.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.6%
Under 2.536.4%
Both teams to scoreYes65.5%
No34.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)32.1%
12 (either side)84.1%
X2 (draw or away)83.9%
Handicap -1Piast Gliwice win14.9%
Push (exactly one goal)16.2%
Loss68.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.0%
1-27.5%

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice stats

Chemik Bydgoszcz and Piast Gliwice recent form

newest first
Chemik Bydgoszcz no matches on record
Piast Gliwice WDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 7.0%, draw 12.9%, away 80.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 13.00 5.80 1.14
1xBet 13.70 7.30 1.11
Bet365 13.00 6.50 1.14
BetVictor 15.00 7.00 1.13
Betano 11.75 6.10 1.16
Betfair 14.00 7.00 1.12
Dafabet 14.00 7.40 1.16
Marathonbet 13.75 7.30 1.11
Pinnacle 11.47 7.60 1.11
SBO 9.45 5.80 1.12
Superbet 12.00 8.30 1.12
Unibet 11.50 7.50 1.13
William Hill 13.00 6.50 1.15

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.