Polonia Środa
vs
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
3 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | P. Skrobosinski | ||
| 19′ | M. GarstkiewiczN. Walkowiak | ||
| 19′ | A. Danek | ||
| 45′ | J. Wilczynski | ||
| 49′ | P. Kielis | ||
| 59′ | E. KosinskiA. Brenkus | ||
| 65′ | J. Wilczynski | ||
| 70′ | M. StangelM. Ciapa | ||
| 70′ | M. MackowiakK. Zmudz | ||
| 71′ | F. PiszczekM. Kolar | ||
| 71′ | A. DanekL. Gerstenstein | ||
| 71′ | K. SmajdorK. Ogorzaly | ||
| 77′ | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | ||
| 79′ | W. BlyszkoK. Szymkowiak | ||
| 84′ | F. KarmanskiM. Walczak |
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
| Probability | Polonia Środa | Draw | Sandecja Nowy Sącz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.8% | 23.4% | 55.8% |
| Market | 33.4% | 26.5% | 40.1% |
| Final | 30.3% | 25.7% | 44.0% |
| Edge | -12.6% | -3.1% | +15.7% |
Why Sandecja Nowy Sącz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 1 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sandecja Nowy Sącz below the model: +15.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polonia Środa and Sandecja Nowy Sącz expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Polonia Środa and Sandecja Nowy Sącz attack and defence ratings
Polonia Środa
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz: result vs prediction
Polonia Środa 3 – 2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom
- Podhale Nowy Targ v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — match page
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce
- Wisła Płock II v Puszcza Niepołomice — match page
- Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice — team news & stats
- Odra Opole vs Wisla Krakow — team news & stats
- Stal Rzeszów v Podbeskidzie — match page
Before and after this match
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 44.0% | 2.27 | +15.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Środa | 30.3% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 44.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.4% |
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz stats
Polonia Środa and Sandecja Nowy Sącz recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.4%, draw 26.5%, away 40.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.27 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.35 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.33 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.27 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 3.41 | 2.26 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.10 | 2.19 |
| Superbet | 2.90 | 3.45 | 2.20 |
| Unibet | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.94 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .