Polonia Środa
vs
Śląsk Wrocław II
3 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | Polonia Środa | ||
| 33′ | Polonia Środa | ||
| 37′ | I. Kobelczuk | ||
| 38′ | P. Mikita | ||
| 44′ | B. Bartkowiak | ||
| 50′ | P. Skrobosinski | ||
| 72′ | Śląsk Wrocław II |
Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II
| Probability | Polonia Środa | Draw | Śląsk Wrocław II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.0% | 21.3% | 52.8% |
| Market | 37.9% | 26.1% | 36.0% |
| Final | 34.9% | 24.9% | 40.2% |
| Edge | -3.0% | -1.2% | +4.2% |
Why Śląsk Wrocław II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.62.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 2 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Śląsk Wrocław II below our published probability: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polonia Środa and Śląsk Wrocław II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Polonia Środa and Śląsk Wrocław II attack and defence ratings
Polonia Środa
Śląsk Wrocław II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II: result vs prediction
Polonia Środa 3 – 1 Śląsk Wrocław II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
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- Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice — match page
- Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan
- Sokół Kleczew v Podhale Nowy Targ — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock — match page
- Znicz Pruszków v Ruch Chorzów — match page
Before and after this match
Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 40.2% | 2.49 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Środa | 34.9% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Śląsk Wrocław II | 40.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% |
| No | 27.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Śląsk Wrocław II win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.5% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II stats
Polonia Środa and Śląsk Wrocław II recent form
| Polonia Środa |
WL |
| Śląsk Wrocław II |
WW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.9%, draw 26.1%, away 36.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.42 | 2.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.45 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.45 | 3.65 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.42 | 2.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.39 | 2.57 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .