Znicz Pruszków
vs
Ruch Chorzów
0 – 1 Full time
| 46′ | M. PawlikN. Zawistowski | ||
| 46′ | M. BroniewskiV. Okhronchuk | ||
| 58′ | J. KosmalskiW. Kieszek | ||
| 60′ | D. VenturaM. Chrapek | ||
| 60′ | P. SzwedzikT. Sutherland | ||
| 60′ | A. CosciaD. Szczepan | ||
| 64′ | M. Chrapek | ||
| 66′ | B. MazurekA. Kazimierczak | ||
| 76′ | A. Lukic | ||
| 83′ | S. NagamatsuM. Konczkowski | ||
| 86′ | M. GlowinskiD. Szafranski |
Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów
| Probability | Znicz Pruszków | Draw | Ruch Chorzów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.8% | 24.0% | 58.2% |
| Market | 27.7% | 26.8% | 45.4% |
| Final | 25.3% | 26.1% | 48.6% |
| Edge | -2.5% | -0.7% | +3.2% |
Why Ruch Chorzów
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ruch Chorzów below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Znicz Pruszków and Ruch Chorzów expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Znicz Pruszków and Ruch Chorzów attack and defence ratings
Znicz Pruszków
Ruch Chorzów
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów: result vs prediction
Znicz Pruszków 0 – 1 Ruch Chorzów
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza
- Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice — match page
- Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan
- Sokół Kleczew v Podhale Nowy Targ — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock — match page
- Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ruch Chorzów | 48.6% | 2.06 | +3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Znicz Pruszków | 25.3% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Ruch Chorzów | 48.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ruch Chorzów win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 41.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 0-2 | 10.2% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów stats
Znicz Pruszków and Ruch Chorzów recent form
| Znicz Pruszków |
DWWLLL |
| Ruch Chorzów |
WWWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Znicz Pruszków | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Ruch Chorzów | Znicz Pruszków | I Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-08 | Znicz Pruszków | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 2-3 |
| 2024-07-28 | Ruch Chorzów | Znicz Pruszków | I Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-26 | Ruch Chorzów | Znicz Pruszków | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-01 | Ruch Chorzów | Znicz Pruszków | II Liga - East | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Znicz Pruszków | Ruch Chorzów | II Liga - East | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 26.8%, away 45.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.45 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.09 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 3.32 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.31 | 3.35 | 1.98 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.09 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .