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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza

0 – 1 Full time

12′D. Abramowicz
41′M. JaroszewskiO. Slawinski
46′P. OlejnikR. Kurzawa
55′B. Zbiciak
59′F. WilakD. Olejarka
67′S. DabrowskiM. Drag
73′J. StecK. Fietz
73′D. JastrzembskiW. Szafranek
73′A. SiemaszkoD. Baldyga
81′M. Kozik
87′K. Kubica
88′B. Zbiciak
88′B. Zbiciak
89′K. CichonM. Wichtowski
90′W. Jakubik

Stadion Sportowy WdaReferee: T. Marciniak

Olimpia Grudziądz 34%
Draw 25%
Nieciecza 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlimpia GrudziądzDrawNieciecza
Model37.7%22.4%39.9%
Market32.4%26.4%41.2%
Final33.7%25.4%40.9%
Edge+1.3%-1.0%-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Nieciecza

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olimpia Grudzi ↓ / Nieciecza → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Olimpia Grudziądz and Nieciecza expected goals

Olimpia Grudziądz 1.93
Nieciecza 1.99

Total expected goals: 3.92

Olimpia Grudziądz and Nieciecza attack and defence ratings

Olimpia Grudziądz

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Nieciecza

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza: result vs prediction

Olimpia Grudziądz 0 – 1 Nieciecza

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nieciecza 40.9% 2.44 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.1% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.6% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.1% 1.66 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olimpia Grudziądz33.7%
Draw25.4%
Nieciecza40.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.1%
Under 2.524.9%
Both teams to scoreYes74.6%
No25.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.1%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.3%
Handicap -1Nieciecza win22.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss60.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.4%
1-27.6%
2-17.4%

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza stats

Olimpia Grudziądz and Nieciecza recent form

newest first
Olimpia Grudziądz WWLWD
Nieciecza LWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Olimpia Grudziądz wins 1Draws 0Nieciecza wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-06-12NiecieczaOlimpia GrudziądzI Liga3-3
2019-09-18Olimpia GrudziądzNiecieczaI Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 26.4%, away 41.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.85 3.44 2.14
Bet365 2.88 3.40 2.15
BetVictor 2.88 3.40 2.20
Betano 2.80 3.50 2.22
Betfair 2.75 3.50 2.20
Dafabet 2.95 3.60 2.22
Marathonbet 2.78 3.44 2.12
Pinnacle 2.68 3.60 2.20
William Hill 2.75 3.30 2.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.