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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice

1 – 0 Full time

32′D. Tkacz
38′K. RadkowskiR. Kobryn
56′J. Myszor
57′M. OlsenA. Czerwinski
57′E. JirkaB. Galan
57′M. WedrychowskiS. Bartlewicz
69′F. JanaszekW. Niewiarowski
69′G. RogalaS. Quainoo
75′I. ShkurinJ. Kokosinski
76′B. WolskiM. Kowalczyk
81′H. AntkowiakB. Korbecki
81′D. TkaczA. Deja
90′S. Milewski

Referee: P. Malec

Górnik Łęczna 21%
Draw 23%
GKS Katowice 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGórnik ŁęcznaDrawGKS Katowice
Model25.6%24.5%49.9%
Market18.9%22.9%58.2%
Final20.6%23.3%56.1%
Edge+1.7%+0.4%-2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why GKS Katowice

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.31.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Górnik Łęczna ↓ / GKS Katowice → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Górnik Łęczna and GKS Katowice expected goals

Górnik Łęczna 1.31
GKS Katowice 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.19

Górnik Łęczna and GKS Katowice attack and defence ratings

Górnik Łęczna

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.13 +13%

GKS Katowice

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice: result vs prediction

Górnik Łęczna 1 – 0 GKS Katowice

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 GKS Katowice 56.1% 1.78 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.9% 1.59 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Górnik Łęczna20.6%
Draw23.3%
GKS Katowice56.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.8%
Under 2.538.2%
Both teams to scoreYes62.9%
No37.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.9%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)79.4%
Handicap -1GKS Katowice win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
1-29.5%
0-27.3%

Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice stats

Górnik Łęczna and GKS Katowice recent form

newest first
Górnik Łęczna DWLLLL
GKS Katowice LLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Górnik Łęczna wins 3Draws 2GKS Katowice wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-25GKS KatowiceGórnik ŁęcznaI Liga0-0
2023-10-22Górnik ŁęcznaGKS KatowiceI Liga1-1
2023-04-15GKS KatowiceGórnik ŁęcznaI Liga2-0
2022-09-10Górnik ŁęcznaGKS KatowiceI Liga2-2
2020-06-03GKS KatowiceGórnik ŁęcznaII Liga - East2-1
2019-08-25Górnik ŁęcznaGKS KatowiceII Liga - East1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 22.9%, away 58.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.76 3.94 1.55
Bet365 4.50 3.90 1.57
BetVictor 5.00 4.00 1.55
Betano 5.00 3.90 1.57
Betfair 4.75 4.00 1.53
Dafabet 5.00 4.20 1.58
Marathonbet 4.65 3.94 1.53
Pinnacle 4.78 4.00 1.55
William Hill 4.80 3.75 1.57

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.